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Liga Portugal

Famalicão - Marítimo

08/16/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Famalicão
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Marítimo
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

0:1

9%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
FAMMAR

Famalicão

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.46
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.32
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
Gil Dias替补席 (4球, 7助攻)
Gustavo Sá未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
Justin de Haas未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Rafa Soares未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Simon Elisor未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
49%进球产出缺失 (仅46%可用)

Marítimo

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.58
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

31%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

69%

双方进球

是

51%

否

49%

关键因素
  • Only 46% of Famalicão's attacking threat available due to the absence of Gil Dias, Gustavo Sá, Justin de Haas, Rafa Soares, and Simon Elisor
  • Famalicão remained defensively stable in recent matches and is unbeaten in 5 games
  • The mathematical model predicts a close encounter with a 34% home win and 36% away win probability
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head matches between the two teams in the provided dataset
  • Limited data availability for Marítimo player statistics
  • Famalicão's halting goal production, averaging 1.3 goals per game recently compared to a season average of 1.4
概述

Famalicão host Marítimo at the Estádio Municipal de Famalicão

Liga Portugal match on August 16, 2026, 7:30 PM

Famalicão sit in 12th place with 1 point, while Marítimo occupy 4th place with 3 points

近期状态

Famalicão are unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of WDDWD

Home side recorded 2 wins and 3 draws in this period

Marítimo started their season with a win (W)

统计数据

Famalicão average 1.24 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded per match

At home, Famalicão concede only 0.55 goals per game on average

Marítimo have scored 1.0 goal and conceded 0.0 goals so far

Venue averages 1.8 goals per match with an Over 2.5 rate of 20%

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches recorded in the provided dataset

关键球员

Sorriso scored 5 goals and provided 4 assists in 33 appearances

Mathias de Amorim has 4 goals and 2 assists with a rising form trend

Rodrigo Pinheiro contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 29 matches

门将

Lazar Carević kept 17 clean sheets in 34 appearances this season

Alfonso Pastor kept a clean sheet in his only match

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass

Famalicão's home defense is strong, conceding only 12 goals in 22 home matches

Venue history shows a low-scoring trend with 1.8 goals per match on average

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