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Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora - Sporting Braga

09/10/2026, 07:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Estrela Amadora
0.7
Total xG
2.4
Sporting Braga
1.6
最可能的比分

0:1

14%

1:1

13%

0:2

12%

0:0

11%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
EASB

Estrela Amadora

防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.66
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.23
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第4位, 相差11位)
-0.09
全员可用

Sporting Braga

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.40
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.28
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第15位, 相差11位)
+0.09
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

15%

平局

27%

客胜

57%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

43%

客胜或平局

85%

非平局

73%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Braga enters the match as favorites with a mathematically calculated win probability of 57%
  • Estrela Amadora played counter-oriented in recent matches, averaging 4.6 shots on target
  • Sporting Braga remained undefeated in all 4 previous head-to-head matches against Estrela Amadora
风险因素
  • Sporting Braga's offensive efficiency has slowed down recently, averaging 1.7 goals compared to their season average of 2.0
  • The absence of injured defender S. Niakate weakens the visitors' defensive stability
  • Estrela Amadora concedes an average of 1.65 goals per game
概述

Estrela Amadora host Sporting Braga at the Estádio José Gomes

Liga Portugal match on September 10, 2026, 8:15 PM

Estrela Amadora occupy 9th place with 6 points

Sporting Braga travel as the 7th-placed team with 7 points

近期状态

Estrela Amadora show stable form with the record DDDWD

The home side recently achieved 1 win and 4 draws

Their recent trend is positive with an increased average of 2.2 goals per game

Sporting Braga are undefeated with the record DWDWW

The visitors secured 3 wins and 2 draws

However, the visitors' goal scoring has slowed down to an average of 1.7 goals recently

统计数据

Estrela Amadora scored an average of 1.12 goals and conceded 1.65 goals this season

Sporting Braga feature a strong attack with an average of 1.88 goals

In Estrela's home matches, there is an average of 2.4 goals per game

The BTTS rate at the stadium stands at 60%

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in history

Sporting Braga recorded 1 win, while 3 matches ended in a draw

Estrela Amadora are still waiting for their first win against Braga

The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw on May 16, 2026

关键球员

Abraham Marcus leads the home side with 5 goals and 5 assists

Ianis Stoica contributed 3 goals and 2 assists this season

Leandro Antonetti impressed with 4 goals in recent matches

For the visitors, Pau Víctor shines with 10 goals and 4 assists

Fran Navarro scored 6 goals this season

João Moutinho controls the midfield with an average rating of 6.97

门将

Léo Linck guards the goal for Estrela Amadora, keeping 8 clean sheets this season

Bernardo is in goal for Sporting Braga, contributing to 12 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio José Gomes

Home advantage is reflected in an average of 2.4 goals per game

The probability of both teams scoring is moderately high at 60%

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