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Liga Portugal

Estoril - Rio Ave

08/22/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Estoril
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Rio Ave
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
ESTRA

Estoril

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.36
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.23
Jordan Holsgrove未进大名单 (1球, 7助攻)
Felix Bacher未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

Rio Ave

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.45倍)
-0.73
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.17
Dario Spikic未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

32%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

68%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Estoril averaged 4.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Estoril's goal production has stalled recently at 0.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.6
  • The mathematical model predicts a 39% home win probability for Estoril
风险因素
  • Rio Ave averaged only 2.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Rio Ave's goal production has stalled recently at 0.5 goals compared to their season average of 1.1
  • Rio Ave lost their last two consecutive league matches
概述

Estoril hosts Rio Ave

Liga Portugal match on August 22, 2026, 6:00 PM

Bottom-table clash between 14th place (1 point) and 17th place (0 points)

Estoril seeks their first win of the season

近期状态

Estoril enters with a form of DDLDL

The home side recently suffered a defeat against Nacional

Rio Ave carries a form of DLDLL

The visitors lost their last two consecutive matches against Porto and Gil Vicente

Both teams are still searching for their first victory this season

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Estoril scored an average of 1.59 goals and conceded 1.68 goals per match last season

Rio Ave averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per game

At home, Estoril averaged 1.61 goals scored

Away from home, Rio Ave averaged 1.06 goals scored

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in recent years

Estoril recorded 2 wins, Rio Ave secured 1 win and 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a 1-2 victory for Rio Ave on March 22, 2026

Estoril scored 9 goals in these matches, while Rio Ave scored 5

关键球员

Yanis Begraoui scored 20 goals for Estoril with a rating of 7.04

João Carvalho contributed 6 goals and 12 assists

André Lacximicant scored once in his last 5 matches

For Rio Ave, Jalen Blesa scored 7 goals this season

Tamble Monteiro provided one assist

Diogo Bezerra scored one goal with a rating of 6.85

Not nominated: Jordan Holsgrove, Felix Bacher, Dario Spikic

门将

Joel Robles played 31 matches in goal for Estoril with an average seasonal rating of 6.66

Ennio Van Der Gouw completed 10 games for Rio Ave with a rating of 6.87

Estoril kept 5 clean sheets last season, while Rio Ave managed 6

影响因素

The match takes place at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on grass

Matches at this venue recently averaged 2.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of the last 5 home games

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