🇵🇹

Liga Portugal

Porto - Arouca

08/23/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Porto
1.7
Total xG
2.4
Arouca
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

2:0

13%

1:1

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
PORARO

Porto

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.88
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
+0.17
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Deniz Gül替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Alan Varela替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Arouca

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-1.05
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.33
状态上升 (2.6 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.33
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.05
Bas Kuipers未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.46
+0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

27%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

73%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Porto won all of the last 4 head-to-head matches with an aggregate score of 13-1
  • Scoring surge: Arouca currently scores 2.6 goals per game, significantly higher than their season average of 1.5
  • Tactical control: Porto averaged 57% possession and 4.6 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Sluggish offense: Porto's scoring has slowed down to 1.4 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.9
  • Away defensive struggles: Arouca conceded 2.43 goals per away match on average last season
概述

Porto hosts Arouca at the Estádio Do Dragão

Liga Portugal match on August 23, 2026, 8:30 PM

Both teams started the season perfectly with two wins

Porto is in 4th place, while Arouca sits just ahead in 3rd place

An early top-tier clash for the league lead

近期状态

Porto's form is WLWWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss)

Porto won their last match 2-0 away against Rio Ave

Arouca's form is DWWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses)

Arouca comes off a convincing 4-0 home victory against Moreirense

Both teams are in excellent shape

统计数据

Porto averaged 1.94 goals scored per game last season

Their defense was highly stable, conceding just 0.53 goals per game

Arouca conceded an average of 1.88 goals per game last season

In away matches, Arouca conceded 2.43 goals per game on average

At the Estádio Do Dragão, recent matches averaged 1.6 goals per game

历史交锋

Porto historically dominates this matchup

Porto won all of the last 4 direct encounters

The overall goal difference in these matches stands at 13-1 in favor of Porto

The last encounter ended in a 3-1 win for Porto on February 27, 2026

关键球员

William Gomes scored 8 goals last season

Gabri Veiga recorded 3 goals and 8 assists last season

Jan Bednarek anchors the defense with an average rating of 7.22

Iván Barbero scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches for Arouca

Taichi Fukui is in rising form with 2 goals and a 7.53 average rating

门将

Diogo Costa made 33 appearances last season and shows a rising form trend

Ignacio de Arruabarrena played 16 matches in goal for Arouca last season

Porto kept 21 clean sheets during the previous campaign

Arouca recorded 7 clean sheets last season

影响因素

Porto relies on home defensive strength, having conceded only 0.35 goals per home game last season

Matches at the Estádio Do Dragão tend to be low-scoring with a 1.6 average total goals

The match will be played on natural grass

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。