Liga Portugal
Moreirense - Benfica
09/09/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
0.7
2.4
1.6
0:1
14%1:1
13%0:2
13%0:0
11%1:2
9%xG 分解
Moreirense
Benfica
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
15%
平局
27%
客胜
57%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
43%
客胜或平局
85%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Form discrepancy: Benfica enters with a 5-match winning streak (WWWWW), while Moreirense won only 1 of their last 5 matches (DDLWL)
- Tactical dominance: Benfica averaged 8.6 shots on target with 63.8% possession in recent matches, compared to Moreirense's average of only 3.0 shots on target
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a strong 58% probability for an away win, expecting 1.63 goals for Benfica
风险因素
- Shorter recovery time: Benfica enters the match with only 4 days of rest since their last game
- Low offensive threat: Moreirense averaged only 3.0 shots on target per match in recent games
概述
Moreirense host Benfica at the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Liga Portugal match on September 9, 2026, 8:45 PM
Moreirense currently sit in 13th place with 4 points
Benfica are in 4th place with 10 points and enter as favorites
近期状态
Moreirense has the form DDLWL
The home side recently recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Benfica is in outstanding shape with the form WWWWW
The visitors won all of their last 5 matches and show a positive trend
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Moreirense averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded per game this season
In home matches, they average 1.11 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded
Benfica shines with an average of 2.18 goals scored and only 0.74 goals conceded per match
The visitors have a strong away record with 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded on average
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the two teams
Benfica dominated the record with 3 wins and 1 draw
Moreirense failed to win any of these matches
The last encounter ended in a 4-1 victory for Benfica
关键球员
Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto is a key defender for Moreirense with 1 goal and 6 assists
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga has already scored 4 goals with a rating of 6.82
Nile John has impressed with 1 goal in his last 5 matches and rising form
Vangelis Pavlidis leads Benfica with an outstanding 23 goals and 4 assists
Gianluca Prestianni recently shone with 4 goals in his last 5 appearances
Leandro Barreiro contributed 3 goals and 5 assists this season
Not selected for Benfica: Georgiy Sudakov (4 goals, 2 assists) and Alexander Bah (2 goals, 0 assists)
门将
André Ferreira played 22 matches in goal for Moreirense this season, averaging a 6.83 rating
His team recorded 9 clean sheets during this campaign
Samuel Soares made 2 appearances for Benfica this season with a strong 7.54 rating
Benfica kept 14 clean sheets in total this season
影响因素
The match takes place at the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on grass
The historical average at this venue stands at 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of the historical matches played here