Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente - Casa Pia
08/24/2026, 07:15 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.2
0.6
1:0
16%2:0
14%1:1
12%0:0
12%2:1
9%xG 分解
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
28%
客胜
13%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
87%
客胜或平局
41%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- Severe quality loss for Casa Pia: Only 27% of their goal threat is available with Gaizka Larrazabal and João Marques missing
- Defense weakness of the visitors: Casa Pia conceded an average of 2.21 goals per away match last season
- Mathematical advantage: The model predicts a home win for Gil Vicente with a 59% probability
风险因素
- Limited offensive power for Gil Vicente: Only 44% of their goal threat is available with Murilo de Souza Costa and Luís André Leite Esteves missing
- Low offensive efficiency: Gil Vicente averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
概述
Gil Vicente host Casa Pia at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Liga Portugal match on August 24, 2026, 8:15 PM
Gil Vicente sit 8th with 3 points after their opening win
Casa Pia are bottom of the table in 18th place with 0 points and 0:8 goals
近期状态
Gil Vicente show a form of WDLLW
Their last match was a 1-0 win against Rio Ave
Form summary includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Casa Pia show a form of LWDLL
Their last match was a 0-7 loss against Benfica
Form summary includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
统计数据
Gil Vicente scored 47 goals in 34 matches last season, averaging 1.38 goals per game
In home games last season, they conceded an average of only 0.85 goals
Casa Pia averaged only 0.91 goals scored per match over the season
In away games last season, the visitors conceded an average of 2.21 goals
Gil Vicente's current goal production is stalling at an average of 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.5
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far
Both Gil Vicente and Casa Pia have won 1 match each
Additionally, there were 2 draws
The goal difference in these matches is balanced at 4:4
The last direct encounter ended in a 2-1 win for Gil Vicente
关键球员
Santiago García González scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists in 33 matches with an average rating of 7.06
Héctor Hernández has 2 goals in 9 season appearances with a rating of 6.77
Joelson Fernandes contributed 1 goal and 3 assists in 24 matches
David Sousa stabilizes the visitors' defense and also scored 2 goals in 26 appearances
Abdu Conté recorded 2 assists in 22 matches with a rating of 6.72
Seba Pérez appeared in 27 matches with an average rating of 6.67
门将
Lucão guards the home team's goal and contributed to 12 clean sheets last season
For the visitors, André Nogueira Gomes starts in goal, with Casa Pia achieving a total of 7 clean sheets last season
影响因素
Gil Vicente benefit from home advantage at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos on natural grass
The historical home stats show an average of 2.4 goals per match in Barcelos
Casa Pia managed only 13 goals in 14 away matches last season