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Liga Portugal

Benfica - Estoril

08/31/2026, 07:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Benfica
2.6
Total xG
3.2
Estoril
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

14%

3:0

12%

2:1

8%

4:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
BENEST

Benfica

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.29倍)
+1.68
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.41
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.29
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.29
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.09

Estoril

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-1.09
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.28
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.28
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.05
Rafik Guitane替补席 (3球, 5助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

79%

平局

15%

客胜

6%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

94%

客胜或平局

21%

非平局

85%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Significant form gap with Benfica winning 3 consecutive matches while Estoril is winless in recent games
  • Benfica is currently scoring more frequently averaging 3.2 goals compared to their season average of 2.2
  • Benfica averaged 9.0 shots on target and 63.2% possession in recent matches
风险因素
  • Benfica had only 4 days of rest since their last match compared to Estoril's 9 days
  • Estoril concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away match
概述

Benfica hosts Estoril at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Liga Portugal match on August 31, 2026, 8:15 PM

Benfica occupies 8th place with 4 points from 2 matches

Estoril is in 17th place with 1 point from 3 matches

Clear match-up between favorites and underdogs

近期状态

Benfica's form across all competitions is DDWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home side recently recorded 3 wins and 2 draws

Estoril's recent form is DLDLL

The visitors registered 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their recent matches

统计数据

Benfica scores an average of 2.18 goals and concedes 0.74 goals per match

At home, Benfica averaged 2.16 goals scored and 0.68 goals conceded

Estoril concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away match

Estoril scored an average of 1.59 goals and conceded 1.68 goals this season

历史交锋

Historical dominance for Benfica with 4 wins from 4 head-to-head matches

The goal difference in these matches is 11:3 in favor of the home team

The last head-to-head match ended in a 3-1 win for Benfica on May 16, 2026

关键球员

Vangelis Pavlidis has 23 goals this season and scored 5 goals in his last 4 matches

Gianluca Prestianni contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Yanis Begraoui has scored 20 goals this season for Estoril

Not in the lineup for the away team: Rafik Guitane with 3 goals and 5 assists

门将

Samuel Soares kept the net empty during his 2 appearances this season

Benfica recorded 14 clean sheets in total this season

Joel Robles played 31 matches this season for Estoril

Estoril completed 5 clean sheets in total

影响因素

Home advantage is supported by Benfica's 41 home goals scored this season

The Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica features a grass surface

The stadium saw an average of 4.8 goals per game in recent matches

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