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Liga Portugal

Arouca - Marítimo

08/29/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Arouca
1.0
Total xG
2.1
Marítimo
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

11%

1:0

11%

1:2

7%
xG 分解
AROMAR

Arouca

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.23
Hyun-ju Lee未进大名单 (7球, 3助攻)

Marítimo

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.40
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.26

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

34%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

66%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Extremely balanced prediction: The model calculates almost identical probabilities for all three outcomes (33% home win, 34% draw, 34% away win)
  • Improved home attack: Arouca is scoring more frequently in recent games with an average of 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.38
  • Counter-attacking style: Marítimo averaged 4.0 shots on target in recent matches despite holding just 42% possession
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability: Arouca concedes a season average of 1.88 goals per match
  • Key player missing: Hyun-ju Lee (7 goals, 3 assists) is not nominated for this match
概述

Arouca hosts Marítimo at the Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Liga Portugal match on August 29, 2026, 3:30 PM

Clash between the 5th and 3rd placed teams in the table

Arouca currently has 6 points

Marítimo has accumulated 7 points

近期状态

Arouca's form in recent matches: WWWWL

Arouca suffered a loss against Porto in their last match

Marítimo's form in recent matches: WWD

Marítimo recorded a draw against Academico Viseu in their last game

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Arouca scores an average of 1.38 goals per league match

Defensively, the hosts concede an average of 1.88 goals

Marítimo averages 1.67 goals per game this season

The visitors concede an average of 1.00 goals

影响因素

Matches at the Estádio Municipal de Arouca average 3.6 goals

Both teams scored in 60% of these home matches

A high proportion of 80% of home games ended with over 2.5 goals

The pitch surface at the stadium is grass

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