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Liga Portugal

Sporting Braga - Vitória Guimarães

08/31/2026, 07:15 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Sporting Braga
1.6
Total xG
2.3
Vitória Guimarães
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

13%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
SBVG

Sporting Braga

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.48倍)
+0.41
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.36
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.29
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
Ricardo Horta未进大名单 (14球, 4助攻)
Fran Navarro替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Vitória Guimarães

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-1.00
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.18
Oumar Camara替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Beni Mukendi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

27%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

73%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a 58% probability for a home win
  • Sporting Braga's home average of 1.89 goals meets Vitória's fragile away defense conceding 2.91 goals on average
  • Sporting Braga recently averaged 4.2 shots on target with 56% possession
风险因素
  • Ricardo Horta and Fran Navarro are missing or not nominated
  • Sporting Braga's goal production has slowed down recently to 1.7 goals compared to their season average of 2.0
  • Vitória Guimarães also shows stalled goal production with recently 0.6 goals compared to their average of 1.2
概述

Sporting Braga (16th place, 1 point) host Vitória Guimarães (11th place, 3 points) at the Estádio Municipal de Braga

Liga Portugal match on August 31, 2026, 8:15 PM

An important mid-table clash early in the season

近期状态

Sporting Braga shows stable form with a WDDWD record

Vitória Guimarães won their last match but has an overall record of LLLLW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sporting Braga scores an average of 1.88 goals per season

Vitória Guimarães concedes an average of 2.91 goals in away matches

Braga has kept 12 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

Even record with 4 head-to-head matches

Each team won 1 match alongside 2 draws

The last meeting ended in a 3-2 win for Sporting Braga

关键球员

Pau Víctor (10 goals, 4 assists), João Moutinho (1 assist, 6.97 rating), and Demir Ege Tıknaz (1 assist, 7.35 rating) lead Sporting Braga

Samu (7 goals, 3 assists), Gustavo Silva (5 goals, 2 assists), and Tony Strata (1 assist, 7.02 rating) are key for Vitória Guimarães

门将

Bernardo plays in goal for Sporting Braga

Oliwier Zych is the goalkeeper for Vitória Guimarães

Braga recorded 12 clean sheets this season, while the visitors kept 10 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estádio Municipal de Braga

Sporting Braga has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.89 goals per game

The visitors' historical away weakness with 2.91 goals conceded per game could strengthen the home advantage

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