Liga Portugal
Casa Pia - Moreirense
08/30/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
1.8
0.7
0:0
18%1:0
16%1:1
15%0:1
10%2:0
10%xG 分解
Casa Pia
Moreirense
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
35%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
55%
Under 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
36%
否
64%
关键因素
- Limited goal threat for Casa Pia: Only 24% of regular starting eleven goal contribution available, with Abdu Conté missing
- Moreirense averaged a possession-dominant style in recent matches, with 55% average possession
- Low scoring expectation: The mathematical model calculates the probability of over 2.5 goals at only 27%
风险因素
- Casa Pia averaged only 3.2 shots on target per game in recent matches
- Moreirense registered an average of just 3.0 shots on target in recent games
概述
Casa Pia host Moreirense at the Estádio Pina Manique
Liga Portugal match on August 30, 2026, 6:00 PM
Bottom-of-the-table clash between 18th-placed Casa Pia (0 points) and 17th-placed Moreirense (1 point)
Both teams have had a tough start to the season and desperately need points
近期状态
Form Casa Pia: WDLLL - Form Moreirense: WLDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Casa Pia has suffered 3 consecutive defeats
Moreirense recorded one draw and one defeat recently
The home team is yet to record a win this season
统计数据
Casa Pia scored 31 goals in 34 season matches (avg 0.91) and conceded 57 goals (avg 1.68)
Moreirense scored 37 goals in 34 matches (avg 1.09) and conceded 49 goals (avg 1.44)
Casa Pia recorded 7 clean sheets last season, while Moreirense registered 9
The hosts' goalscoring has stalled recently, averaging just 0.4 goals per game
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
Moreirense leads with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Casa Pia
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on March 1, 2026
Both teams have scored a total of 7 goals each in these matchups
关键球员
David Sousa stabilizes the home defense with an average rating of 6.79
João Goulart has made 25 appearances for Casa Pia with a 6.62 rating
André Geraldes has featured in 26 matches in the hosts' backline
Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto shines for the visitors with 1 goal and 6 assists
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga has scored 4 goals with a season average rating of 6.82
Nile John shows rising form with a rating of 6.92 in recent matches
Not nominated for the visitors: Travassos, Rodrigo Alonso Martín, and Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
门将
André Nogueira Gomes starts in goal for Casa Pia
André Ferreira guards the Moreirense goal with an average rating of 6.83
Ferreira made 22 appearances this season and even contributed one assist
The hosts kept 7 clean sheets this season, while the visitors recorded 9
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Pina Manique
Historically, an average of 2.2 goals are scored per game at this venue
Recent matches at this stadium show a very low both-teams-to-score rate of 20%
Moreirense benefits from a longer recovery period of 14 days, compared to Casa Pia's 6 days of rest