比赛报告 →
Famalicão – Gil Vicente0 : 0
模型为何这样判断
Famalicão
1.12
总 xG
2.01
Gil Vicente
0.89
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Famalicão | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| 防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球) | −0.41 | |
| 高进球联赛 (场均2.9球) | +0.39 | +0.39 |
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍) | −0.39 | |
| 最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球) | −0.22 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球) | −0.22 | |
| 状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均) | −0.17 | |
| 状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均) | −0.16 | |
| 最近5场中3场零封 | −0.15 | |
| 18%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用) | ||
| Murilo de Souza Costa替补席 (11球, 4助攻) | ||
| Luís André Leite Esteves未进大名单 (4球, 8助攻) | ||
| Santiago García González未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻) | ||
| 75%进球产出缺失 (仅30%可用) |
关键因素
- Squad crisis for the visitors: Only 31% of goal threat is available as Murilo de Souza Costa, Luís André Leite Esteves and Santiago García González are missing
- Strong home defense for Famalicão: Averaged only 0.55 goals conceded per home game this season
- Famalicão averaged 3.0 shots on target in recent matches with 59% possession
风险
- Struggling goal production for Famalicão, averaging 0.8 goals recently compared to a season average of 1.3
- Gil Vicente with only 6 days of rest since their last match
- Statistical analysis predicts a low-scoring game with only a 33% probability for over 2.5 goals
全部概率
赛果
Famalicão39%
平局34%
Gil Vicente27%
进球
大于 1.562%
小于 1.538%
大于 2.533%
小于 2.567%
大于 3.515%
小于 3.585%
双重机会
Famalicão或平局73%
Gil Vicente或平局61%
非平局66%
双方均进球
是42%
否58%
最可能的比分
1:1
15%
0:0
15%
1:0
13%
0:1
10%
2:0
8%
首发阵容
Famalicão 4-2-3-1 · Gil Vicente 4-2-3-1
Famalicão
- 25 L. Carević
- 17 R. Pinheiro Ferreira
- 3 L. Realpe Montaño
- 4 F. van Breemen
- 28 P. Bondo Francisco
- 8 M. Peña Ocaña
- 19 P. Valente Moreira
- 23 G. Bastião Dias
- 14 M. De Amorim
- 7 M. Lopes Moura
- 70 G. Koutsias
Gil Vicente
- 30 L. Galdino de Azevedo
- 47 R. Sousa Esgaio
- 4 M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 39 J. Buatu Mananga
- 26 W. Moreira da Costa
- 5 F. Cáseres
- 86 D. Ferreira Prioste
- 11 J. Mango Fernandes
- 32 M. Fernández Benítez
- 20 G. Pinto Martins
- 23 H. Hernández Marrero
替补
- 24 M. Jangeal
- 1 I. Zlobin
- 2 G. García dos Santos
- 9 U. Abubakar
- 10 P. Costa Santos
- 18 R. Beney
- 91 R. Silva Almeida
- 11 Ó. Aranda Subiela
- 21 T. Szücs
- 36 M. Mattara Colombo
- 5 L. Meyer
- 22 G. Cabral da Cruz
- 45 D. Madeira Moreira
- 6 J. Natário Ferreira
- 27 A. Moreira Morales
- 3 A. Espigares Morillas
- 77 M. De Souza Costa
- 82 G. Maia Pereira
- 7 T. Chabrol Touré
- 29 Carlos Eduardo
- 2 J. Silva
- 94 S. Portugal Lima
- 12 A. Sejr Lausen
- 99 M. Kaba
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