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Liga Portugal

Famalicão - Gil Vicente

08/30/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Famalicão
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Gil Vicente
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
FAMGV

Famalicão

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.41
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.39
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.17
18%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

Gil Vicente

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Murilo de Souza Costa替补席 (11球, 4助攻)
Luís André Leite Esteves未进大名单 (4球, 8助攻)
Santiago García González未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
75%进球产出缺失 (仅30%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

34%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Squad crisis for the visitors: Only 31% of goal threat is available as Murilo de Souza Costa, Luís André Leite Esteves and Santiago García González are missing
  • Strong home defense for Famalicão: Averaged only 0.55 goals conceded per home game this season
  • Famalicão averaged 3.0 shots on target in recent matches with 59% possession
风险因素
  • Struggling goal production for Famalicão, averaging 0.8 goals recently compared to a season average of 1.3
  • Gil Vicente with only 6 days of rest since their last match
  • Statistical analysis predicts a low-scoring game with only a 33% probability for over 2.5 goals
概述

Famalicão host Gil Vicente at the Estádio Municipal de Famalicão

Liga Portugal match on August 30, 2026, 8:30 PM

Famalicão currently occupy 15th place with one point

Gil Vicente arrive in 6th place with six points

近期状态

Famalicão show a form of DWDLL

The hosts lost their last two matches

Gil Vicente show a form of DLLWW

The visitors enter the match with two consecutive wins

统计数据

Famalicão scored an average of 1.24 goals and conceded 0.85 goals per game this season

At home, the hosts' defense is stable, conceding only 0.55 goals per match

Gil Vicente averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded per game

In away games, the visitors concede an average of 1.50 goals per match

历史交锋

There have been 4 direct duels between these teams

The record is balanced with one win each and two draws

The last encounter ended in a clear 5-0 win for Gil Vicente

关键球员

For Famalicão, Gil Dias with 4 goals and 7 assists and Sorriso with 5 goals and 4 assists stand out

Mathias de Amorim also controls the midfield with 4 goals this season

For Gil Vicente, attacker Héctor Hernández is in focus with 2 goals and 1 assist

门将

Famalicão's Lazar Carević played 34 league games and the team recorded 17 clean sheets

Lucão is in goal for Gil Vicente, having played 8 games this season with 12 clean sheets for his team

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estádio Municipal de Famalicão

The stadium history shows an average of 2.2 goals per game

The probability of both teams scoring is calculated at 42%

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