Liga Portugal
Nacional - Estrela Amadora
08/30/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
8%xG 分解
Nacional
Estrela Amadora
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
31%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- The mathematical prediction favors Nacional with a 42% win probability (expected goals: 1.35 to 1.06)
- Nacional averaged only 2.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Estrela Amadora played counter-oriented in recent games, averaging 39% possession
风险因素
- Nacional plays with a weakened squad, with only 63% of the usual goal threat available
- Estrela Amadora misses Paulo Moreira and Jefferson Encada, leaving only 70% of the usual goal threat available
- Estrela Amadora concedes an average of 2.13 goals in away matches
概述
Nacional (8th place, 4 points) host Estrela Amadora (11th place, 2 points) at the Estádio da Madeira
Liga Portugal match on August 30, 2026, 2:30 PM
A mid-table clash where both teams aim to climb higher
近期状态
Nacional with form LWDWL in recent matches
Last match ended in a 0-1 loss against Vitória Guimarães
Estrela Amadora with form LDDDD enters with four consecutive draws
Their last game was a 2-2 draw against Alverca
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Nacional scored an average of 1.09 goals and conceded 1.32 this season
In home games, they scored 1.10 and conceded 1.10 goals on average
Estrela Amadora scored 1.12 goals on average and conceded 1.65 per game
In away matches, the visitors concede an average of 2.13 goals
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
Estrela Amadora leads with 2 wins, Nacional has 1 win and 1 draw
The last encounter ended in a 2-0 win for Nacional on April 4, 2026
关键球员
Léo Santos with 3 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.85
Ze Vitor contributed 4 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.00
Liziero shines in midfield with 4 assists and a rating of 7.04
Abraham Marcus scored 5 goals and provided 5 assists (Rating: 7.04)
Ianis Stoica has 3 goals and 2 assists (Rating: 6.73)
Stefan Leković scored 2 goals with an average rating of 7.10
门将
Renato Marin starts in goal for Nacional, who recorded 8 clean sheets this season
Léo Linck is in goal for Estrela Amadora, who also achieved 8 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio da Madeira
Nacional scores an average of 1.10 goals and concedes 1.10 at home
The venue history shows an average of 2.0 goals per game