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Liga Portugal

Alverca - Santa Clara

08/29/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Alverca
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Santa Clara
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

0:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
ALVSC

Alverca

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.20
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.08
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
36%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.1球)

Santa Clara

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.70
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
16%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

33%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

67%

双方进球

是

43%

否

57%

关键因素
  • Alverca averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Santa Clara arrives with stable form, while mathematical analysis gives the home team a 42% win probability
  • The historical rate of 100% BTTS in past home matches suggests an open game
风险因素
  • Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira, Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui missing, only 66% of goal threat available
  • Low offensive threat with both teams averaging under 3.5 shots on target per match recently
概述

Alverca (15th place, 1 point) host Santa Clara (4th place, 7 points) at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Liga Portugal match on August 29, 2026, 3:30 PM

The hosts aim to get back on track while the visitors want to stay near the top

近期状态

Alverca is struggling with a form string of DLLDL

No wins in their last five matches, recording two draws and three losses

Santa Clara comes in with a solid form of WLDWW

The visitors secured three wins and one draw alongside one loss

统计数据

Alverca averages 1.03 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game

Santa Clara averages 0.94 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per game

The hosts' goal production has slowed down recently to 0.8 goals per match

Santa Clara scores consistently with an average of 1.2 goals per match

历史交锋

In two head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won once and there was one draw

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Figueiredo has scored 6 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Nabil Touaizi has 1 goal and 5 assists to his name

Gonçalo Paciência has scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches

门将

Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira kept 5 clean sheets at home

Santa Clara has recorded 10 clean sheets overall this season

影响因素

The venue shows a high average of 3.6 goals per match

Both teams scored in all 5 recorded home games of Alverca

Alverca had 7 days of rest since their last competitive match

Santa Clara approaches this fixture with 6 days of rest

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