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Liga Portugal

Santa Clara - Rio Ave

09/06/2026, 02:30 PM

4 : 0
预期进球
Santa Clara
1.5
Total xG
2.1
Rio Ave
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

17%

2:0

14%

0:0

13%

1:1

12%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
SCRA

Santa Clara

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
19%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

Rio Ave

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.37倍)
-1.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.14
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

28%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

72%

双方进球

37%

63%

关键因素
  • Home advantage and model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 58% home win probability and expects 1.53 home goals
  • Tactical advantage: Santa Clara averaged 2.8 shots on target with 44% possession in recent matches
  • Player form: Gonçalo Paciência is in rising form with 4 goals in his last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Low goal threat: Rio Ave averaged only 1.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Historical setback: Santa Clara lost the last head-to-head match at home 0-2
  • Struggling home offense: Santa Clara scores an average of only 0.94 goals per home game
概述

Santa Clara hosts Rio Ave at the Estádio de São Miguel

Liga Portugal match on September 6, 2026, 3:30 PM

Santa Clara is in 5th place with 8 points

Rio Ave occupies 14th place with 3 points

The home team enters the match as favorites

近期状态

Santa Clara's form is LDWWD

They recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Rio Ave's form is DLLWL

The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Santa Clara scores 0.94 goals and concedes 1.21 goals per game on average

Rio Ave scores 1.03 goals and concedes 1.68 goals per game on average

The hosts concede 0.94 goals per home game

Rio Ave concedes 1.65 goals per away game

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Both teams have 1 win each with 2 draws

The last encounter ended in a 2-0 win for Rio Ave

关键球员

Vinícius Lopes has scored 6 goals this season for the hosts

Gonçalo Paciência is in rising form with 4 goals in the last 5 matches

Jalen Blesa has already scored 7 goals this season for Rio Ave

门将

Lucas França starts in goal for Santa Clara with a 6.96 rating in home games

Ennio Van Der Gouw plays in goal for Rio Ave with a season rating of 6.87

Santa Clara kept 10 clean sheets this season compared to 6 for Rio Ave

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estádio de São Miguel

The stadium averages 2.4 goals per game

Santa Clara benefits from a solid home defense conceding only 0.94 goals per game

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