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Liga Portugal

Marítimo - Benfica

09/05/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Marítimo
1.0
Total xG
2.4
Benfica
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

11%

0:0

11%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
MARBEN

Marítimo

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.10
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.06

Benfica

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.44
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.29
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.29
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
-0.07
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

31%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

69%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Benfica is scoring more frequently recently (3.2 goals) than their season average of 2.2
  • Benfica averaged 8.4 shots on target with 64% possession in recent matches
  • Benfica enters with strong momentum of 4 consecutive wins (form: DWWWW)
风险因素
  • Benfica has had only 5 days of rest compared to Marítimo with 7 days
  • Benfica goalkeeper Samuel Soares shows a declining trend with a rating of 6.65 in recent matches
概述

Marítimo (7th place, 7 points) host Benfica (5th place, 7 points) at the Estádio do Marítimo

Liga Portugal match on September 5, 2026, 6:00 PM

Both teams enter this fixture level on points in the standings

近期状态

Marítimo shows the form WWDL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Their last match ended in a 1-2 defeat against Arouca

Benfica comes in with the form DWWWW with 4 wins and 1 draw

The visitors travel with a run of 4 consecutive victories

统计数据

Benfica scores an average of 2.18 goals per game this season

On the road, the visitors average 2.20 goals per match

Marítimo scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 1.25 goals per game

The mathematical model calculates a 43% probability for an away win

关键球员

Vangelis Pavlidis leads the attack with 23 goals this season and an average rating of 7.22

Gianluca Prestianni contributed 3 goals and 6 assists so far

Rafa Silva has registered 5 goals this season

门将

Samuel Soares starts in goal for Benfica with 14 clean sheets this season

Alfonso Pastor starts in goal for Marítimo

Samuel Soares saw his average rating drop to 6.65 in recent matches

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estádio do Marítimo

Venue statistics show an average of 2.5 goals per game

The venue's BTTS rate stands at 50%

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