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Liga Portugal

Alverca - Sporting Braga

09/05/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Alverca
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Sporting Braga
1.0
最可能的比分

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

12%

0:2

7%
xG 分解
ALVSB

Alverca

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.27
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.07
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.07
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.07
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1球)

Sporting Braga

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.58
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.40
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.28
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.03
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

35%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

65%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Sporting Braga won both previous matches with a combined score of 8-0
  • Tactical advantage: Sporting Braga averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to Alverca's 2.8
  • Close prediction: Mathematical models project a tight contest with a 35% win probability for Braga and 31% for Alverca
风险因素
  • Alverca's offensive struggles: The home team averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Negative form trend: Advanced stats show a negative recent form trend for both teams
  • Restricted data: No weather data is available in the provided dataset
概述

Alverca host Sporting Braga at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Liga Portugal match on September 5, 2026, 5:00 PM

Alverca are in 16th place with 2 points, while Sporting Braga are 9th with 4 points

近期状态

Alverca show a form of LLDLD with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses across all competitions

Sporting Braga arrive with a form of DDWDW, including 2 wins and 3 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Alverca scored an average of 1.03 goals and conceded 1.53 goals per match this season

Sporting Braga average 1.88 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per match

Alverca scored an average of 1.06 goals at home, while Braga averaged 1.88 goals away

历史交锋

Two head-to-head matches in the database, both won by Sporting Braga

Goal difference of 0:8 from Alverca's perspective

The last meeting ended in a 5:0 win for Sporting Braga on January 25, 2026

关键球员

For Alverca, Figueiredo has scored 6 goals this season with a rating of 7.01

Nabil Touaizi contributed 1 goal and 5 assists with a rating of 6.75 for Alverca

Pau Víctor leads Sporting Braga with 10 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.02

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

The venue history shows an average of 3.0 goals per game with a 100% BTTS rate

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