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Liga Portugal

Sporting CP - Nacional

09/05/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Sporting CP
2.6
Total xG
3.3
Nacional
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

3:0

11%

2:1

9%

1:1

8%

3:1

8%
xG 分解
SCNAC

Sporting CP

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.43倍)
+1.46
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.47
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.15
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第14位, 相差12位)
+0.14
Georgios Vagiannidis替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Eduardo Quaresma替补席 (2球, 2助攻)

Nacional

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.79
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.13
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第2位, 相差12位)
-0.10
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.01
Liziero未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
42%进球产出缺失 (仅50%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

76%

平局

16%

客胜

7%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

93%

客胜或平局

24%

非平局

84%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Nacional has only 50% of its regular starting XI strength available, with Liziero missing
  • Sporting CP recently dominated possession with an average of 61% possession and 6.0 shots on target per match
  • The mathematical model estimates a very high home win probability of 76%
风险因素
  • Nacional averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Nacional enters this match with a negative trend after two consecutive losses
概述

Sporting CP host Nacional at the Estádio José Alvalade

Liga Portugal match on September 5, 2026, 8:30 PM

Clash between the second-placed and tenth-placed teams

Sporting CP aim to keep pressure on league leaders Porto

近期状态

Sporting CP is in strong shape with the form WDWWW

The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw recently

Away side Nacional has struggled with the form WDWLL

Nacional recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses recently

统计数据

Sporting CP scored a strong average of 2.62 goals per game this season

The home defense stands extremely solid with only 0.71 goals conceded per game

Away side Nacional concedes an average of 1.69 goals per game on the road

In past home matches, games featured a high average of 4.4 goals per match

历史交锋

Sporting CP completely dominated the last 4 head-to-head matches

The home side earned 4 wins with 0 losses and 0 draws

The goal difference in this period stands at 14:3 for Sporting CP

The last encounter ended 2:1 for the home team on February 1, 2026

关键球员

Luis Suárez shines for the home side with 28 goals and 6 assists this season

Maxi Araújo contributed 5 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.11 so far

Geny Catamo recorded 6 goals and 3 assists in this campaign

Léo Santos leads the visitors with 3 goals and 2 assists this season

Ze Vitor impressed so far with 4 goals and a rating of 7.00

Miguel Baeza scored 1 goal this season with an average rating of 6.61

门将

Rui Silva starts in goal for Sporting CP and kept 15 clean sheets this season

Nacional deploys Renato Marin between the posts

The home team completed 15 games with clean sheets during this campaign

影响因素

Significant home advantage for Sporting CP at the Estádio José Alvalade on grass

The home record shows an outstanding 51 goals scored and only 11 conceded

The venue promises a high-scoring game with an average of 4.4 goals per match

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