Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora - Famalicão
09/05/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.2
1.3
1:1
15%0:0
13%0:1
13%0:2
9%1:0
9%xG 分解
Estrela Amadora
Famalicão
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
24%
平局
32%
客胜
44%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
56%
客胜或平局
76%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Form Trend: Estrela Amadora currently score more frequently (2.3 goals) than their season average (1.4), while Famalicão's goal production stalls at 0.8
- Tactical Advantage: Estrela Amadora averaged 4.0 shots on target in recent matches, whereas Famalicão averaged only 2.4
- Model Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a 56% probability for a home win or draw
风险因素
- Gil Dias is missing for Famalicão, leaving only 60% of the usual starting XI strength available
- Famalicão averaged only 2.4 shots on target in recent matches, indicating poor chance creation
- The expected goals model favors the visitors with 1.28 expected goals compared to 0.89 for the hosts
概述
Estrela Amadora host Famalicão at the Estádio José Gomes
Liga Portugal match on September 5, 2026, 4:30 PM
Estrela are in 8th place with 5 points, while Famalicão sit 14th with 2 points
The hosts aim to extend their unbeaten run
近期状态
Estrela Amadora show stable form with the string DDDDW
They recorded 1 win and 4 draws recently
Famalicão are struggling with the form WDLLD
The visitors registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats lately
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Estrela Amadora average 1.12 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded per season
Famalicão score an average of 1.24 goals while conceding 0.85 per game
At home, Estrela average 1.11 goals scored and 1.26 conceded
Famalicão concede an average of 1.42 goals in away games
Estrela kept 8 clean sheets this season, while Famalicão achieved 17
历史交锋
Even record in the last 4 head-to-head matches
Both teams recorded 1 win each alongside 2 draws
The goal difference stands at 3:5 from Estrela's perspective
The last encounter ended in a 0:0 draw
关键球员
Abraham Marcus recorded 5 season goals and 5 assists with a rating of 7.04
Ianis Stoica registered 3 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.73
Leandro Antonetti scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches
Sorriso has 5 season goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.05
Mathias de Amorim registered 4 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.97
Rodrigo Pinheiro contributed 3 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.97
门将
Léo Linck starts in goal for Estrela
Lazar Carević played 34 matches this season for Famalicão
Estrela recorded 8 clean sheets this campaign, while Famalicão kept 17 clean sheets
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Estádio José Gomes
The venue averages 2.4 goals per match historically
Both teams scored in 2 of the 5 historical home games
The historical Over 2.5 rate stands at 60% at this location