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Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente - Academico Viseu

09/06/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Gil Vicente
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Academico Viseu
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
GVAV

Gil Vicente

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.26
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Santiago García González未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

Academico Viseu

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.72
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.64
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.38
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

28%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

53%

否

47%

关键因素
  • Favorites role for the hosts: The model calculates a home win probability of 50% and 1.63 expected goals
  • Form gap: Gil Vicente is unbeaten in their last three league matches while Academico Viseu is still winless this season with a DLDL form
  • Defensive stability: Gil Vicente concedes an average of just 0.85 goals per home match
风险因素
  • Key absence: Santiago García González (6 goals, 3 assists) is not nominated, leaving Gil Vicente with only 82% of their usual goal threat available
  • Offensive limitations: Gil Vicente averaged only 3.0 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for Academico Viseu due to missing player statistics in the provided dataset
概述

Gil Vicente (6th place, 7 points) host Academico Viseu (15th place, 2 points) at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Liga Portugal match on September 6, 2026, 8:30 PM

The home side enters this fixture as the clear favorite

近期状态

Gil Vicente is in solid form with LLWWD and remains unbeaten in their last three league games

Academico Viseu is struggling with a DLDL form and is still searching for their first win of the season

The hosts recorded two wins and one draw in their recent matches

统计数据

Gil Vicente scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes just 0.85 goals per home game

Academico Viseu scores 1.0 goal on average but concedes 2.0 goals per match

Matches at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos have averaged 2.2 goals per game

关键球员

Murilo de Souza Costa leads Gil Vicente with 11 goals and 4 assists this season

Héctor Hernández shows stable performances with 2 goals and 1 assist this term

Joelson Fernandes contributed 1 goal and 3 assists to Gil Vicente's attack

门将

Lucão starts in goal for Gil Vicente and shows a rising form trend

Gil Vicente has recorded 12 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

Home advantage favors Gil Vicente who concede only 0.85 goals per home match

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

准备开始了吗？

创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。