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Liga Portugal

Porto - Moreirense

09/04/2026, 07:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Porto
2.0
Total xG
2.5
Moreirense
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

16%

3:0

10%

1:1

10%

2:1

9%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
PORMOR

Porto

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.45倍)
+0.78
防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.76
最近5场中5场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.06
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.03
Zaidu Sanusi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Moreirense

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.43倍)
-1.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.12
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.04
Rodrigo Alonso Martín未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

70%

平局

22%

客胜

8%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

92%

客胜或平局

30%

非平局

78%

双方进球

是

38%

否

62%

关键因素
  • Porto averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches, demonstrating strong offensive quality
  • The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 70% for Porto
  • Porto dominates the historical record with 4 wins out of 4 games and an 11:2 goal ratio
风险因素
  • Key player Rodrigo Alonso Martín is missing for Moreirense
  • A high-scoring match is unlikely as the Over 2.5 probability in the model is only 46%
  • Moreirense has struggled offensively in recent games, averaging only 0.75 goals per match
概述

Porto host Moreirense at the Estádio Do Dragão

Liga Portugal match on September 4, 2026, 8:15 PM

League leaders Porto face 11th-placed Moreirense as clear favorites

近期状态

Porto is in perfect shape with 5 consecutive wins (WWWWW)

Moreirense shows mixed form with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses (LDDLW)

Form codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Porto averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.53 goals conceded per game this season

Moreirense conceded an average of 1.75 goals per away match

Porto's home defense is extremely solid with only 0.35 goals conceded per game

历史交锋

Porto dominates with 4 wins in 4 matches

The goal ratio stands at 11:2 in favor of Porto

The last direct encounter ended in a 3:0 win for Porto on March 15, 2026

关键球员

Gabri Veiga recorded 3 goals and 8 assists this season with a rising form trend

William Gomes contributed 8 goals and 1 assist for the home team

Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto is crucial for the away team with 1 goal and 6 assists

门将

Diogo Costa kept 21 clean sheets this season with a rising form trend

André Ferreira registered 9 clean sheets with a declining form trend

影响因素

Porto benefited greatly from defensive stability on the grass of the Estádio Do Dragão

Historical matches at this venue show a low average of 1.6 goals per game

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