🇵🇹

Liga Portugal

Benfica - Gil Vicente

09/13/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Benfica
1.9
Total xG
2.5
Gil Vicente
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

14%

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

3:0

9%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
BENGV

Benfica

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.49倍)
+1.70
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-1.13
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.42
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.22
状态上升 (3 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
+0.22
主场表现强势 (场均2.8球 vs 总体2.3球)

Gil Vicente

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-1.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.22
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Santiago García González替补席 (6球, 3助攻)
Joelson Fernandes替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

66%

平局

24%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

34%

非平局

76%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Benfica averaged 8.8 shots on target with 65.8% possession in recent matches
  • Form gap: Benfica boast a perfect 5-match winning streak while Gil Vicente's attack is stalling
  • Mathematical models predict a strong 66% probability for a Benfica home win
风险因素
  • Gil Vicente are missing key players Santiago García González and Joelson Fernandes from the starting lineup
  • Gil Vicente suffer from defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away game
概述

Benfica host Gil Vicente at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Liga Portugal match on September 13, 2026, 5:00 PM

Top-tier team challenges the mid-table side

Benfica sit in 2nd place with 13 points

Gil Vicente are in 8th place with 7 points

The hosts aim to keep pressure on league leaders Porto

近期状态

Benfica enter the match in perfect form

Hosts' form: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Five wins from their last five matches

Gil Vicente struggle with inconsistent performances

Guests' form: LWWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Most recent match ended in a defeat against Academico Viseu

统计数据

Benfica boast an extremely strong attack

Seasonal average of 2.18 goals scored per game

Defensively, the hosts concede only 0.74 goals per match

Gil Vicente average 1.38 goals per game this season

The guests concede an average of 1.5 goals in away games

历史交锋

Clear historical advantage for the hosts

Four head-to-head matches in recent years resulted in four wins for Benfica

Goal record stands at 12 to 3 in favor of the Eagles

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Benfica

关键球员

Vangelis Pavlidis leads Benfica's attack with 6 goals this season

Gianluca Prestianni shines with 4 goals and 2 assists

Héctor Hernández has scored 2 goals for Gil Vicente this season

门将

Samuel Soares starts in goal for Benfica with an average rating of 6.82

Lucão guards the net for the visitors with a rating of 6.66

Benfica recorded 14 clean sheets in their season stats

Gil Vicente kept 12 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Strong home record for Benfica with an average of 2.16 goals scored at home

Historically, matches at this venue average 4.6 total goals per game

Home advantage is amplified at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。