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Liga Portugal

Famalicão - Sporting CP

09/13/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Famalicão
0.9
Total xG
2.5
Sporting CP
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

11%

0:0

10%

0:2

10%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
FAMSC

Famalicão

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.51倍)
-0.80
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.57
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.27
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.10

Sporting CP

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.55
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
-0.40
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.39
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位)
+0.09
Rodrigo Zalazar替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

29%

客胜

49%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

51%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

71%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Form gap: While Famalicão are winless Sporting CP arrive with five consecutive victories
  • Tactical dominance: Sporting CP averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches while Famalicão managed only 2.8
  • Attacking threat: Sporting's Luis Suárez is in exceptional form with four league goals already
风险因素
  • Low offensive efficiency for Famalicão with an average of only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Sporting CP with only 4 days of rest since their last match compared to Famalicão's 8 days
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

Famalicão host Sporting CP at the Estádio Municipal de Famalicão

Liga Portugal match on September 13, 2026, 8:30 PM

15th-placed Famalicão challenge undefeated 3rd-placed Sporting CP

The visitors enter the match as clear favorites

近期状态

Famalicão are still searching for their first league win with a form of DLLDD

Sporting CP arrive with a perfect run of five consecutive wins (WWWWW)

The hosts recently secured a draw while the visitors remain on a winning streak

统计数据

Famalicão's goal production has stalled with an average of 1.0 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.4

Sporting CP are flying offensively scoring 3.0 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 2.5

The visitors' defense has been highly stable this season conceding just 0.71 goals per game

历史交锋

The head-to-head record shows clear dominance for Sporting CP with four wins in the last four matches

The last meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for Sporting CP on February 15, 2026

Famalicão have not won any of the recent direct duels

关键球员

For Famalicão the hopes rest on attacker Georgios Koutsias who has scored three goals this season

Defender Finn van Breemen is also key with an average rating of 6.99

Sporting CP rely on striker Luis Suárez with four goals and one assist

Rodrigo Zalazar (1 goal and 1 assist) is not in the starting XI

门将

Lazar Carević starts in goal for Famalicão with an average rating of 6.42

Sporting CP's goal is guarded by Rui Silva who holds a rating of 6.38 this season

Both goalkeepers have played all five league matches so far

影响因素

Home advantage could play a role for Famalicão who historically defend very well at home

The stadium averages 2.0 goals per match

The probability for both teams to score is historically 60% at this venue

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