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Liga Portugal

Arouca - Santa Clara

09/13/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Arouca
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Santa Clara
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
AROSC

Arouca

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.51
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02

Santa Clara

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.56
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.47
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.18
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

30%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

52%

否

48%

关键因素
  • Limited attacking threat: According to data only 25% of Santa Clara's seasonal goal production is currently available
  • Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a 39% win probability in favor of Santa Clara
  • Solid defense: Undefeated Santa Clara have impressed this season with 10 clean sheets overall
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerabilities: Arouca concede a high average of 1.88 goals per game this season
  • Close matchup: The mathematical model calculates a 30% probability for a draw
  • Limited data on duel statistics from recent matches
概述

Arouca host Santa Clara in the Liga Portugal on September 13, 2026, 6:00 PM

The match will be played at the Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Fifth-placed Arouca with 10 points face fourth-placed Santa Clara with 11 points

近期状态

Arouca enter with a form of WWLWD including 3 wins and 1 draw

Santa Clara remain undefeated with a form of DWWDW including 3 wins and 2 draws

Both sides show a positive trend in their recent league games

统计数据

Arouca score an average of 1.38 goals and concede 1.88 goals per game

Santa Clara average 0.94 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded

At home Arouca concede an average of 1.5 goals per match

历史交锋

The direct history consists of 4 head-to-head matches

Each team has recorded 1 win along with 2 draws

The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw on May 2, 2026

关键球员

Iván Barbero leads Arouca with 3 goals this season

Naïs Djouahra has been creative for the hosts with 3 assists

Gonçalo Paciência stands out for Santa Clara with 4 goals and 1 assist

门将

Ignacio de Arruabarrena guards the home goal with a strong rating of 7.54

Lucas França starts in goal for the visitors with a rating of 6.92

Santa Clara have recorded 10 clean sheets this season compared to 7 for Arouca

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at the Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Venue statistics show an average of 3.2 goals per game at this stadium

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches played here

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