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Liga Portugal

Academico Viseu - Vitória Guimarães

09/12/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Academico Viseu
1.1
Total xG
2.5
Vitória Guimarães
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
AVVG

Academico Viseu

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.37
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.31
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.22
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)

Vitória Guimarães

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.17
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.14
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.13
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.13
Miguel Nogueira替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

30%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The model predicts a slight advantage for the visitors with an away win probability of 41%
  • Vitória Guimarães averaged 19.2 total shots per match in recent games
  • Academico Viseu is defensively more stable away with 0.8 goals conceded compared to their overall average of 1.6 goals conceded
风险因素
  • Miguel Nogueira is missing for the visitors, leaving only 63% of the usual starting XI strength available
  • Vitória Guimarães concedes a high average of 2.91 goals per away game
  • Academico Viseu averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Academico Viseu hosts Vitória Guimarães

Match on September 12, 2026, 8:30 PM

Matchup between the 10th and 12th placed teams in Liga Portugal

Only one point separates both teams in the standings

近期状态

Academico Viseu has a form of DLDLW

The hosts recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Vitória Guimarães arrives with a form of LLWLD

The visitors have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

统计数据

Academico Viseu averages 1.0 goals scored per match

The hosts concede an average of 1.6 goals per game

Vitória Guimarães averages 1.15 goals scored per match

The visitors concede an average of 1.5 goals per game

关键球员

André Clóvis leads the attack with 2 goals this season

João Guilherme shines with an average rating of 7.16

Soufiane Messeguem already scored 1 goal this season for the hosts

Gustavo Silva averages a rating of 7.39 for the visitors

Samu scored 1 goal in midfield so far this season

Tony Strata has already contributed 1 assist

门将

Ewerton guards the goal for Academico Viseu with an average rating of 7.26

The hosts achieved 1 clean sheet so far

Oliwier Zych is in goal for Vitória Guimarães with a rating of 6.69

The visitors have kept a total of 10 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Municipal do Fontelo

The venue statistics show an average of 2.0 goals per game

In previous home matches, there were no games where both teams scored

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