Liga Portugal
Moreirense - Marítimo
09/14/2026, 07:15 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
11%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Moreirense
Marítimo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
32%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Form and efficiency: Marítimo scores consistently at 1.2 goals per match, while Moreirense's recent goal production averaged only 0.8 goals
- Model prediction: The mathematical model favors Marítimo with a 40% probability of an away win compared to 29% for a home win
- Tactical setup: Both teams have played counter-oriented styles recently, with Marítimo averaging 3.4 shots on target compared to Moreirense's 2.4
风险因素
- Squad impact: Only 63% of Moreirense's usual starting lineup strength is available
- Missing history: Limited data on head-to-head matches makes historical comparison difficult
- Low attacking output: Moreirense averaged only 2.4 shots on target in recent matches
概述
Moreirense (15th place, 4 points) host Marítimo (10th place, 7 points) at the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Liga Portugal match on September 14, 2026, 8:15 PM
Moreirense aim to escape the relegation zone while Marítimo look to consolidate their mid-table position
近期状态
Moreirense show inconsistent form with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Form code: DLWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Marítimo recently recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and suffered 2 consecutive losses
Form code: WWDLL
统计数据
Moreirense scored an average of 1.09 goals and conceded 1.44 goals per match this season
In home games, Moreirense averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded
Marítimo scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals this season
Away from home, Marítimo's defense is more stable, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game
关键球员
Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto is one of the hosts' top performers with a rating of 6.84
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues and Nile John have each scored 1 goal this season
For the visitors, Martín Tejón stands out with 1 goal, 1 assist, and an average rating of 7.11
Additionally, Adrián Butzke Benavides (1 goal, rating 6.97) and Raphael Guzzo (1 goal, rating 6.86) are key contributors
门将
André Ferreira played 5 times in goal this season and has an average rating of 6.65
The home team has already recorded 9 clean sheets this season
Alfonso Pastor guarded Marítimo's goal in 5 matches as well, with a rating of 6.75
The visitors have managed to secure 1 clean sheet so far this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
The venue has seen an average of 2.8 goals per match in recent games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of these games while both teams scored in 40% of them