Liga Portugal
Sporting Braga - Estoril
09/14/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.8
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Sporting Braga
Estoril
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
25%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
41%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Mathematical signal: The model forecasts a home win probability of 59%
- Possession dominance: Sporting Braga controlled an average of 58.4% possession in recent matches
- Away defensive weakness: Estoril concedes an average of 1.94 goals in away matches this season
风险因素
- Squad gap in attack: Fran Navarro, Vítor Carvalho, and Mario Dorgeles are not in the lineup, leaving only 80% of the team's goal threat available
- Reduced lineup strength: Estoril starting XI features only 67% of their usual team strength according to the dataset
- Stuttering offensive efficiency: Braga's recent goal average of 1.5 goals per game is below their season average of 1.9
概述
Sporting Braga (8th place, 7 points) host Estoril (17th place, 2 points) at the Estádio Municipal de Braga
Liga Portugal match on September 14, 2026, 8:45 PM
The home side goes into the match as clear favorites
近期状态
Sporting Braga has a form of WDWWL (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Estoril shows a form of DLLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
Braga recently lost 1-2 away to Estrela Amadora
Estoril recorded a 0-0 draw against Arouca in their last outing
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Braga averages 1.88 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per season
At home, Braga scored an average of 1.89 goals per match
Estoril concedes an average of 1.94 goals away from home while scoring 1.56
Estoril managed to keep only 3 clean sheets in away games this season
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in the database
The record is balanced with 1 win each and 2 draws
Braga holds a narrow 5-4 goal difference advantage
The last meeting on May 3, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
Pau Víctor has scored 10 goals and provided 4 assists in 32 appearances
Gabri Martínez registered 1 goal and 3 assists so far this season
Yanis Begraoui has scored 2 goals in 5 games for Estoril
门将
Joel Robles made 5 season appearances for Estoril with an average rating of 6.74
Sporting Braga kept a total of 12 clean sheets overall this season
Estoril recorded 5 clean sheets in the current campaign
影响因素
The game will be played on grass at the Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga concedes an average of only 1.00 goals per game in their home stadium
Historical venue stats show an average of 2.4 goals per match