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Liga Portugal

Rio Ave - Estrela Amadora

09/14/2026, 05:45 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Rio Ave
1.0
Total xG
2.4
Estrela Amadora
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

11%

0:0

10%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
RAEA

Rio Ave

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.19
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第6位, 相差10位)
-0.11
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.04
44%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Estrela Amadora

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.23
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第16位, 相差10位)
+0.07
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.01
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

30%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

70%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Only 29% of Estrela Amadora's seasonal goal production is active with this starting lineup
  • Clear form gap: Estrela Amadora is unbeaten in 5 matches (DDWDW), whereas Rio Ave lost 4 of their last 5 (LLWLL)
  • Estrela Amadora averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches, while Rio Ave managed only 1.8
风险因素
  • Estrela Amadora has a shorter recovery time with only 4 days since their last match
  • The visitors struggle defensively on the road, conceding 2.13 goals per away game
  • Historical head-to-head records favor Rio Ave, who won 3 of the last 4 encounters
概述

Rio Ave host Estrela Amadora

Liga Portugal match on September 14, 2026, 6:45 PM

Rio Ave sit in 16th place with 3 points

Estrela Amadora occupy 6th place with 9 points

A clash between relegation-threatened hosts and high-flying visitors

近期状态

Rio Ave's form is LLWLL

They have suffered two consecutive defeats

Estrela Amadora remain unbeaten with DDWDW form

The visitors travel after a recent victory

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Rio Ave score an average of 1.03 goals and concede 1.68 per game

Estrela Amadora score 1.12 goals and concede 1.65 on average

The visitors struggle away from home, conceding 2.13 goals per game

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Rio Ave won 3 of these encounters

Estrela Amadora secured 1 victory

The last direct match ended 2-1 in favor of Rio Ave

关键球员

Jalen Blesa is a key attacker for Rio Ave with an average rating of 7.05

Leandro Antonetti leads Estrela Amadora with 4 goals this season

Ianis Stoica has also been highly effective with 3 goals and 1 assist

门将

Ennio Van Der Gouw guards the goal for Rio Ave with a 6.87 rating

Léo Linck is in goal for Estrela Amadora, averaging a 6.67 rating

Rio Ave kept 6 clean sheets this season, while Estrela Amadora recorded 8

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

The venue averages 3.0 goals per game

No weather data is available for this match

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