Liga Portugal
Nacional - Alverca
09/12/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
10%1:0
10%1:2
8%xG 分解
Nacional
Alverca
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
32%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Balanced model prediction: The probabilities for home win (33%), draw (32%), and away win (35%) are extremely close
- Tactical focus: Nacional averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match in recent games
- Defensive vulnerability of Alverca: The visitors conceded an average of 1.71 goals per away match this season
风险因素
- Léo Santos and Liziero are missing for Nacional, leaving only 68% of the usual goal threat available
- Vivaldo Semedo is missing for Alverca, leaving only 69% of their goal threat available
- Low offensive output: Nacional averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match in recent games
概述
Nacional (11th place, 4 points) host Alverca (16th place, 2 points) at Estádio da Madeira
Liga Portugal match on September 12, 2026, 3:30 PM
A duel in the lower third of the standings
近期状态
Nacional has a form of DWLLL with 3 consecutive losses at the end
1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their form summary
Alverca shows a form of LDLDL and is still waiting for their first win
0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses for the visitors
Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Nacional averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per season
At home, the hosts concede an average of 1.10 goals per match
Alverca has an away goal average of 1.00 while conceding 1.71 goals per game
The visitors recorded 19 matches this season where both teams scored
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 17 of Alverca's matches
历史交锋
Only 2 head-to-head matches played so far
Even record with 1 win for Nacional and 1 win for Alverca
Goal difference of 1:1 in these encounters
The last meeting on April 18, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home win for Nacional
关键球员
Daniel Jr has 1 assist and an average rating of 7.07
Ze Vitor scored 1 goal in 5 appearances with a rating of 6.96
Pablo Ruan stands at 1 goal this season and a rating of 6.83
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira leads the visitors with 1 goal and a rating of 7.27
Figueiredo has 1 goal this season and a rating of 7.19
Isaac James has already contributed 2 assists this season
门将
Renato Marin starts in goal for Nacional with an average rating of 7.03
Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira guards the goal for Alverca with a rating of 6.67
Nacional recorded 8 clean sheets so far this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Estádio da Madeira
Historically, this stadium averages 2.6 goals per game
Nacional has an even goal record of 23-23 at home
Alverca struggles away with 29 goals conceded