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Liga Portugal

Sporting CP - Arouca

09/19/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Sporting CP
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Arouca
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
SCARO

Sporting CP

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.47
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.08
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.04
Flávio Gonçalves替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)

Arouca

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.48倍)
-1.11
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.71
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

29%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

71%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Matchup edge: Sporting's home attack meets Arouca's vulnerable away defense conceding an average of 2.43 goals per game
  • Tactical control: Sporting CP averaged 58.6% possession and 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • H2H dominance: Sporting CP is undefeated against Arouca with 3 wins in 4 direct encounters
风险因素
  • Missing player impact: Flávio Gonçalves is not selected, removing 3 goals and 1 assist from Sporting's attack
  • Arouca's improved offense: The visitors currently score more frequently with an average of 1.8 goals than their season average of 1.5
概述

Sporting CP (3rd place, 14 points) hosts Arouca (5th place, 10 points) at the Estádio José Alvalade

Liga Portugal clash on September 19, 2026, 8:30 PM

The home side enters this top-five matchup as the favorite

近期状态

Sporting CP is in great shape with a form curve of WWWWD

The hosts registered 4 wins and 1 draw in their last matches

Arouca shows mixed results with a form string of WLWDL

The visitors recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats recently

统计数据

Sporting CP boasts a strong attack averaging 2.62 goals per game this season

Their defense remains stable with only 0.71 goals conceded per match and 15 clean sheets

Arouca averages 1.38 goals scored but concedes 2.43 goals per away game on average

历史交锋

The home side clearly dominated in the 4 head-to-head matches so far

Sporting CP achieved 3 wins and 1 draw, scoring 13:3 goals in the process

The last meeting ended with a 2:1 victory for Sporting CP

关键球员

Luis Suárez shines in attack with 5 season goals and a rating of 7.16

Geny Catamo contributed 1 goal and 3 assists so far

Arouca relies on Naïs Djouahra who recorded 4 assists this season

门将

Rui Silva guards the goal for Sporting and has kept 15 clean sheets this season

Ignacio de Arruabarrena plays in goal for Arouca, averaging a strong rating of 7.34

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estádio José Alvalade

The stadium statistics show an average of 3.6 goals per game with an Over 2.5 rate of 80%

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