Liga Portugal
Estoril - Casa Pia
09/20/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Estoril
Casa Pia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
32%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Counter strategy: Both teams played a defensive, counter-oriented style with under 44% possession recently
- Goal drought: Offenses have dried up recently with both teams averaging only 0.25 goals per game
- High-pressure clash: The match between 17th and 18th place puts massive pressure on both winless teams
风险因素
- Away leaks: Casa Pia concedes a high average of 2.21 goals in away games
- Low offensive output: Casa Pia averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match recently
- Winless home streak: Estoril is struggling to break their negative trend of LLLDL
概述
Bottom-of-the-table clash in Liga Portugal
Estoril (17th, 2 points) hosts Casa Pia (18th, 1 point)
Match on September 20, 2026, 6:00 PM
The model predicts a tight 1.20 to 1.14 with a 36% home win probability
近期状态
Both teams share an identical form curve of LLLDL
Estoril has 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses recently
Casa Pia also stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Both sides suffered a defeat in their last match
统计数据
Estoril scores a season average of 1.59 goals per game
Casa Pia averages 0.91 goals scored per match
Estoril concedes an average of 1.44 goals at home
Casa Pia concedes an average of 2.21 goals away
历史交锋
Balanced record after 4 head-to-head games
Each side won 1 match alongside 2 draws
The last clash ended in a 0-0 draw on March 7, 2026
Overall goal difference remains level at 5-5
关键球员
Yanis Begraoui scored 2 goals in 6 matches with a 6.93 rating
Ismael Sierra solidifies the defense with a 6.99 rating
Jordan Holsgrove commands the midfield with a 7.17 rating
Henrique Araújo scored 1 goal with a rating of 6.55
Selvi Clua anchors the midfield with a 7.02 rating
David Sousa registers a defensive rating of 6.97
门将
Joel Robles started 6 matches in goal for Estoril this season
Ivan Mandić made 2 appearances for Casa Pia so far
Estoril has kept 5 clean sheets in the current campaign
Casa Pia managed 7 clean sheets over the season
影响因素
The game will be on natural grass at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
The venue average is a low 1.8 goals per match
Both teams scored in only 40% of the last 5 games here
Over 2.5 goals occurred in only 20% of recent games