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Liga Portugal

Santa Clara - Sporting Braga

09/20/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Santa Clara
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Sporting Braga
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
SCSB

Santa Clara

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.39倍)
-0.55
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.43
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.17
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.2球)
全员可用

Sporting Braga

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.85
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.58
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.49
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.28
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.20
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Demir Ege Tıknaz替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.9球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

31%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Only 34% of Santa Clara's usual goal production is currently active in the starting lineup
  • Sporting Braga recently averaged 58.4% possession and 5.0 shots on target per match
  • Santa Clara is on a positive trend, currently averaging 1.8 goals scored per game
风险因素
  • Sporting Braga's goal production has slowed recently to 1.25 goals compared to their 1.92 season average
  • Defensive absence of S. Niakate for Sporting Braga due to an Achilles tendon rupture
  • Limited data availability on total duels in the provided dataset
概述

Santa Clara (4th place, 14 points) host Sporting Braga (7th place, 10 points) at the Estádio de São Miguel

Liga Portugal match on September 20, 2026, 6:00 PM

A competitive clash as both teams aim to strengthen their positions near the top of the table

近期状态

Santa Clara are in strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw (Form: WWDWW)

Sporting Braga recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently (Form: DWWLW)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Santa Clara averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per game this season

Sporting Braga show a stronger attack, averaging 1.88 goals scored per match

Santa Clara's home record stands at 0.94 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded on average

历史交锋

In the last 4 direct encounters, Santa Clara won 1 match, Sporting Braga won 2, and 1 ended in a draw

The last meeting resulted in a 2-1 home victory for Santa Clara

A total of 3 goals were scored by Santa Clara and 5 by Sporting Braga across these matches

关键球员

Gonçalo Paciência leads the hosts with 5 goals and 1 assist (7.27 average rating)

Brenner has contributed 2 goals with a rating of 7.19 this season

Pau Víctor has been key for Sporting Braga, scoring 3 goals and providing 1 assist

门将

Lucas França has made 6 appearances for Santa Clara with an average rating of 6.97

Bernardo has represented Sporting Braga with a rating of 6.54

Santa Clara kept 10 clean sheets this season, while Sporting Braga secured 12 clean sheets

影响因素

Home advantage plays a role at the Estádio de São Miguel, which averages 2.8 goals per match

Santa Clara are reliable playing on a grass surface

The model predicts a tight outcome, estimating 1.23 expected goals for the hosts and 1.17 for the visitors

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