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Liga Portugal

Alverca - Rio Ave

09/19/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Alverca
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Rio Ave
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
ALVRA

Alverca

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.24
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.21
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.15
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.15
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.08
Vivaldo Semedo替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Rio Ave

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.34倍)
-1.02
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.61
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.50
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.02
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体1.1球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

32%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Limited offensive power for Rio Ave as only 14% of seasonal goal production is available in the current squad
  • Mathematical advantage for Alverca with a calculated 72% probability for a home win or draw
  • Higher offensive efficiency as Alverca averaged 3.4 shots on target recently compared to 2.6 for Rio Ave
风险因素
  • High defensive vulnerability as Rio Ave concedes an average of 1.65 goals in away matches
  • Counter-attacking focus on both sides as both teams averaged only 42% possession recently
  • Alverca concedes an average of 1.35 goals per game in front of their home crowd
概述

Alverca hosts Rio Ave

Liga Portugal match on September 19, 2026, 6:00 PM

Alverca currently sits in 12th place with 5 points

Rio Ave travels as 16th place with 4 points

An important clash in the lower half of the table

近期状态

Alverca form: DLDLW

Rio Ave form: LWLLD

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Alverca recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches

Rio Ave secured 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently

The home team comes off a victory in their last game

统计数据

Alverca scored an average of 1.03 goals and conceded 1.53 goals this season

Rio Ave averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per match

Alverca conceded an average of 1.35 goals in home games

Rio Ave conceded an average of 1.65 goals in away games

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in history

Alverca with 1 win, Rio Ave with 0 wins and 1 draw

Goal difference of 3:2 in favor of Alverca

The last encounter ended 2:1 for Alverca on April 4, 2026

关键球员

Dawda Camara with 2 goals for Alverca

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira recorded 1 goal and 1 assist

Figueiredo scored 1 goal this season for the hosts

Jalen Blesa registered 2 goals and 1 assist for Rio Ave

Diogo Bezerra contributed 3 assists so far

Francisco Petrasso scored 1 goal this season

门将

Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira guards the goal for Alverca

Vítor Hugo starts in goal for Rio Ave

Alverca kept 6 clean sheets so far this season

Rio Ave also recorded 6 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

The venue averages 2.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in all 5 analyzed matches at this stadium

Alverca holds a rest advantage with 7 days since their last match compared to 5 days for Rio Ave

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