Liga Portugal
Vitória Guimarães - Moreirense
09/20/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Vitória Guimarães
Moreirense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
26%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Vitória Guimarães must play without Miguel Nogueira, leaving only 74% of their typical starting lineup strength available
- Vitória Guimarães averaged 5.0 shots on target with 51% possession in recent matches
- Vitória Guimarães concede only 0.83 goals per home game, compared to Moreirense's away average of 1.75 goals conceded
风险因素
- According to advanced stats, both teams are struggling to produce goals, averaging 1.0 goals in recent matches
- Moreirense concede an average of 1.75 goals on the road this season
概述
Vitória Guimarães host Moreirense at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Liga Portugal match on September 20, 2026, 3:30 PM
Moreirense are in 13th place with 7 points, while Vitória Guimarães sit in 14th place with 4 points
A close battle in the lower half of the table
近期状态
Vitória Guimarães form: LWLDL with one win and three losses in their last five matches
Moreirense form: LWLLW with two wins and three losses in their last five games
Vitória Guimarães lost their last match 1-2 against Academico Viseu
Moreirense won their last match 3-1 against Marítimo
统计数据
Vitória Guimarães scored an average of 1.15 goals and conceded 1.50 goals per match this season
Strong home defense with only 0.83 goals conceded per home game for Vitória Guimarães
Moreirense average 1.09 goals scored and concede an average of 1.75 goals in away matches
Both teams scored in 16 of Moreirense's matches this season
历史交锋
Historical record from 4 head-to-head matches shows 2 wins for Vitória Guimarães and 1 win for Moreirense
There was also one draw
The last meeting on January 30, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home win for Vitória Guimarães
The overall goal difference in direct duels is balanced at 4-4 goals
关键球员
Gustavo Silva scored one goal in six season matches with an average rating of 7.33
Alan de Souza Guimarães provided one assist in his single season appearance
Leonardo Vonić scored one goal in his only appearance, averaging a rating of 6.95
门将
Oliwier Zych started six games for Vitória Guimarães, averaging a rating of 6.66
André Ferreira also played six games for Moreirense, holding an average rating of 6.65
Vitória Guimarães secured five clean sheets at home, while Moreirense kept four clean sheets on the road
影响因素
The average total goals at this venue stands at 1.0 goals per game
Moreirense play away from home, where they conceded an average of 1.75 goals
The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 54%