Liga Portugal
Porto - Benfica
09/20/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Porto
Benfica
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
27%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Extreme Squad Impact: Porto currently plays with reduced efficiency as only 23% of their usual goal production is available
- Benfica's attacking trend: The visitors scored an average of 2.8 goals in recent matches, which is higher than their season average of 2.3
- Mathematical prediction: The calculation model favors Benfica with a 43% chance of securing an away win
风险因素
- Shorter recovery time: Benfica had only 4 days of rest since their last match compared to Porto's 8 days of recovery
- Defensive strain: The calculated BTTS probability is high at 61%
- Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述
Top clash in Liga Portugal on September 20, 2026, 8:30 PM
League leaders Porto (1st place, 18 points) host rivals Benfica (2nd place, 16 points) at the Estádio Do Dragão
A crucial battle for the top spot of the table
近期状态
Porto displays strong momentum with WWWLW and 4 wins in their last 5 matches
Benfica arrives with a flawless WWWWW record and a running streak of 5 consecutive wins
Both sides show a highly positive and stable form trend
统计数据
Porto scores an average of 1.94 goals per match and concedes only 0.35 goals at home
Benfica counters with a powerful offense averaging 2.18 goals per game
Porto saw 19 over 2.5 goals matches this season, while Benfica recorded 24
历史交锋
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Porto did not record a single home victory
Benfica secured 2 wins, with 2 matches ending in a draw
The most recent meeting on March 8, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw
关键球员
For Porto, Gabri Veiga (3 goals, 3 assists) and William Gomes (2 goals, 2 assists) lead the attacking stats
Jan Bednarek secures the defensive line with a high seasonal rating
Benfica relies on Gianluca Prestianni with 5 goals and Vangelis Pavlidis with 8 goals, alongside defender Clément Lenglet
门将
Porto counts on goalkeeper Diogo Costa with a 6.98 rating and 21 clean sheets this season
Benfica is protected by Samuel Soares with a 6.76 rating and 14 clean sheets in total
影响因素
The game will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Do Dragão
Porto benefits from an exceptionally stable home defense of only 0.35 conceded goals per game
The stadium averages 2.0 total goals per match