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Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente - Marítimo

09/19/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Gil Vicente
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Marítimo
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
GVMAR

Gil Vicente

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
+0.24
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.20
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.18
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.14
主场表现强势 (场均2球 vs 总体1.5球)
全员可用

Marítimo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.94
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.60
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

30%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Squad availability: Only 9% of the seasonal goal threat is available in Gil Vicente's starting lineup
  • Tactical metric: Gil Vicente averaged 3.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • Defensive gap: Marítimo concedes an average of 2.00 goals away from home with only one clean sheet
风险因素
  • Marítimo averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Marítimo concedes an average of 2.00 goals per away match
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head matches
概述

Gil Vicente hosts Marítimo at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Liga Portugal match on September 19, 2026, 3:30 PM

Both teams are level on 7 points in the mid-table

A balanced duel between the 9th and 10th-placed sides

近期状态

Gil Vicente enters with a form of WWDLL

The hosts recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses recently

Marítimo travels with a form of WDLLL

The visitors have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their record

Both teams lost their last two league matches

统计数据

Gil Vicente scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 1.12 per game

At home, their average is 1.40 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded

Marítimo scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.83 per match

Away from home, Marítimo concedes an average of 2.00 goals while scoring 1.33

The historical average at this venue stands at 2.2 goals per game

关键球员

Héctor Hernández has 3 goals, one assist, and a rating of 7.05

Gil Martins contributed one goal and one assist with a rating of 6.87

Diogo Ferreira Prioste stands out with an average rating of 7.08

Martín Tejón recorded one goal, one assist, and a rating of 7.04

Adrián Butzke Benavides has one goal this season and a rating of 6.92

Raphael Guzzo scored one goal with a rating of 6.99

门将

Lucão starts in goal for Gil Vicente with a season rating of 6.79

Gil Vicente recorded 12 clean sheets overall this season

Fran Vieites is in goal for Marítimo but has not made any season appearances yet

Marítimo has achieved 1 clean sheet so far this campaign

影响因素

Gil Vicente leverages home advantage, conceding only 0.85 goals per game at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

The match will be played on natural grass in familiar surroundings

The historical average at this venue stands at 2.2 goals per game

The home win is mathematically calculated at a probability of 44%

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