Premier League
AFC Bournemouth - Liverpool
01/24/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.6
1.9
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
26%
平局
36%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
94%
Over 2.5
84%
Over 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
74%
非平局
64%
双方进球
是
72%
否
28%
关键因素
- Liverpool's historical dominance: The visitors have won all of the last five encounters against Bournemouth, with a goal difference of 15:3
- Offensive form trends: Both teams show a positive offensive trend according to advanced stats, currently scoring more goals than their season average
- Injury concerns on both sides: Bournemouth is missing key players like Tavernier and Adams, while Liverpool must cope without attackers Isak and Chiesa, which could level the playing field
风险因素
- Bournemouth's home strength: Despite their league position, Bournemouth is defensively solid at home, conceding only 1.1 goals per game, which could challenge Liverpool
- Liverpool's inconsistent away defense: Liverpool concedes significantly more goals away from home at 1.64 per game, a weakness Bournemouth could exploit
- Contradictory form data: The home team's form summary (1W, 3D, 1L) contradicts its form string (DLWDD), indicating a potential inconsistency in the source data
概述
AFC Bournemouth, in 15th place with 27 points, host Liverpool, 4th with 36 points, at the Vitality Stadium
The Premier League match takes place on January 24, 2026, at 6:30 PM
Liverpool aims to solidify its position in the top 4, while Bournemouth looks to move further away from the relegation zone
近期状态
AFC Bournemouth: DLWDD - 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss
Liverpool: DDWDW - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
Liverpool is unbeaten in their last five matches, whereas Bournemouth shows mixed form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Offensively, both teams are quite balanced with a season average of 1.59 goals (Bournemouth) and 1.50 goals (Liverpool) per game
Defensively, Liverpool is more stable, conceding an average of 1.32 goals, compared to Bournemouth's 1.86
Bournemouth's home weakness is evident with only 4 clean sheets in 10 home games
Liverpool has kept 3 clean sheets in 11 away matches
At the Vitality Stadium, there's an average of 2.6 goals per game, and in 60% of matches, both teams scored
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Liverpool has a perfect record with 5 wins
AFC Bournemouth has not won any of these matches, and there have been no draws
The goal difference is clearly in Liverpool's favor at 15:3
The last meeting ended in a 4-2 victory for Liverpool
关键球员
Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth's top scorer with 10 season goals, followed by Eli Kroupi with 7 goals
For Liverpool, Hugo Ekitiké is the most prolific scorer with 8 season goals
Cody Gakpo has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists
Florian Wirtz and Dominik Szoboszlai are showing rising form, both having scored in their last 5 games
门将
Djordje Petrovic has been in goal for Bournemouth in 22 matches, achieving 5 clean sheets
Alisson has played 17 matches for Liverpool, keeping 7 clean sheets
影响因素
Liverpool has a strong away record on grass with 6 wins and 4 draws in 10 games
Bournemouth has won only one of 10 matches on their home grass pitch (6 draws, 3 losses)
Statistics from the Vitality Stadium suggest a high probability of both teams scoring (60% BTTS rate)
Bournemouth is defensively more solid at home (1.1 goals conceded/game) than away (2.5)