Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace
02/08/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
37%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
18%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
63%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Critical weakening of Crystal Palace: With only 44% of their goal-scoring threat available, particularly due to the absence of top scorer Mateta, their offense is severely hampered
- Defensive strength meets weakened attack: Brighton's solid home defense (0.93 goals conceded/game) has a clear advantage against Palace's depleted forward line
- Visitors' losing streak: According to form data, Crystal Palace is winless in five games (DLLLD), giving Brighton a psychological edge
风险因素
- Brighton's offensive issues: Despite being favorites, Brighton has also shown recent struggles in front of goal, with their scoring average recently dropping from 1.6 to 1.2
- Historical trend: Crystal Palace has the recent H2H record on their side, winning 2 of the last 5 encounters while Brighton won only one
- Low-scoring games at the venue: Recent matches at Brighton's stadium have been very tight, averaging only 1.6 goals, which increases the probability of a draw
概述
Brighton & Hove Albion (13th place, 31 points) host Crystal Palace (15th place, 29 points) at The American Express Community Stadium
The Premier League match takes place on February 8, 2026, 3:00 PM
This is a lower mid-table clash where both teams are looking to pull away from the bottom of the table
近期状态
Brighton & Hove Albion form: DWDLD
In the last 5 matches, there has been 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Crystal Palace form: DLLLD
In the last 5 matches, there have been 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
The form favors Brighton, as Crystal Palace has been winless in their last five games
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Brighton scores an average of 1.42 goals per game this season and concedes 1.33
Crystal Palace averages 1.04 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded
At home, Brighton is defensively strong, conceding only 0.93 goals per game while scoring 1.43
Crystal Palace has a balanced away record with 1.08 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove Albion won 1 time, Crystal Palace won 2 times, and 2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is perfectly balanced at 7:7
The last encounter ended in a 0-0 draw
Based on recent results, Crystal Palace is considered the more dominant team lately
关键球员
Danny Welbeck is a key attacker with 8 goals this season
Pascal Groß has scored one goal in the last five games
Georginio Rutter has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season
Ismaïla Sarr has scored 4 goals for the visitors this season
Defender Daniel Muñoz is also a goal threat with 3 goals and 2 assists
Yérémy Pino has been involved in 3 goals this season (2 goals, 1 assist)
门将
Brighton's goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen has kept 5 clean sheets in 24 appearances this season
Crystal Palace's Dean Henderson has kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches
影响因素
Brighton shows a strong defensive performance at home, with only 0.92 goals conceded per game
Matches at The American Express Community Stadium tend to be low-scoring, with an average of only 1.6 goals per game in the last five fixtures
However, both teams scored in 60% of these stadium matches
Crystal Palace has a weak away record on grass with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses in the last 10 games