Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United
02/10/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.7
1.4
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
28%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
32%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- CRITICAL WEAKENING: Tottenham lose 51% of their goal threat through absences of Richarlison (7G/4A), Kudus (2G/5A) and Romero (4G/1A)
- AWAY PROBLEMS: Newcastle concede average 2.0 goals per away game - double their home rate (1.18)
- HISTORICAL DOMINANCE: Newcastle unbeaten in last 5 direct meetings (4 wins, 1 draw) with goal ratio 12:4
风险因素
- Massive injury list at Tottenham: 11 absentees including key players like Romero, Richarlison and Kudus
- Newcastle lose defensive control away: Average 2.0 goals conceded per away game
概述
Tottenham Hotspur (14th place, 29 points) host Newcastle United (12th place, 33 points) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League match on February 10, 2026, 8:30 PM
Slight advantage for the visitors despite home ground
Both teams fighting for upper table positions
近期状态
Tottenham: WDWDL - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss (latest: loss)
Newcastle: WLDLL - 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses (latest: 2 consecutive losses)
Spurs showing more stable form in recent five games
Tottenham in better position despite poor table standing
统计数据
Tottenham attack: Avg. 1.4 goals per game, Home: Avg. 1.36 goals
Newcastle attack: Avg. 1.4 goals per game, Away: Avg. 1.38 goals
Tottenham defence: Avg. 1.4 goals conceded, Home: Avg. 1.45 conceded
Newcastle defence: Avg. 1.44 goals conceded, Away: Avg. 2.0 conceded
Stadium character: 2.8 goals/game, 80% BTTS, 60% Over 2.5
Goal-friendly stadium favours offensive play
历史交锋
5 direct encounters with clear Newcastle dominance
Record: 4 Newcastle wins, 1 draw, 0 Tottenham wins
Goal ratio: 12:4 for Newcastle
Last meeting: 2:2 draw on December 2, 2025
Newcastle as historically dominant team in this fixture
关键球员
Dominic Solanke: 4 goals in last 5 games, Avg. 1.02 goals per 90 min
Xavi Simons: 1 assist in 5 games, rising form
Wilson Odobert: 3 assists in last 5 games
Bruno Guimarães: 9 season goals, 4 assists, central playmaker
Anthony Gordon: 2 goals in last 5 games
Joe Willock: 1 goal in last 5 games
门将
Guglielmo Vicario: 25 season games, 7 clean sheets, Avg. 6.8 rating
Nick Pope: 19 season games, 7 clean sheets, Avg. 6.86 rating
Similar performance levels for both goalkeepers
Vicario with Avg. 6.77 rating in last 5 games
影响因素
Home advantage Tottenham: 15 home goals vs 16 home conceded
Away weakness Newcastle: Avg. 2.0 goals conceded away
Stadium character: 2.8 goals per game, 80% Both Teams to Score
Grass surface: Tottenham 2-4-4 record, Newcastle 4-3-3 record
Both teams with balanced possession (49% vs 50%)