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Premier League

Sunderland - Liverpool

02/11/2026, 08:15 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Sunderland
1.2
Total xG
3.1
Liverpool
2.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

0:1

7%

1:3

6%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

24%

客胜

55%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

45%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

76%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Drastic form discrepancy in the league: Liverpool arrives with five consecutive league wins, while Sunderland's form is inconsistent
  • Liverpool's offensive superiority: Averaging 1.6 goals per game and with a recent surge to 3.2 goals in recent matches, Liverpool's attack is significantly more potent
  • Key matchup in focus: Sunderland's extremely strong home defense (only 0.47 goals conceded/game) will be tested by Liverpool's dangerous away attack
风险因素
  • Sunderland's home fortress: Conceding only 0.47 goals per home game, Sunderland's defense could neutralize Liverpool's attack
  • Potential fatigue for Liverpool: With only three days of rest since their last match, Liverpool has one less day to recover than Sunderland
  • Key absences: The absence of Dominik Szoboszlai, in particular, could impact Liverpool's creative thrust in midfield
概述

Sunderland, in 11th place in the table with 36 points, hosts Liverpool, who are in 6th place with 39 points

The Premier League match will take place on February 11, 2026, at 9:15 PM at the Stadium of Light

This is an upper-mid-table clash where Liverpool are considered favorites, underlined by a calculated win probability of 55%

近期状态

Sunderland's form across all competitions is mixed: DWLWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Liverpool's overall form is similar: WLWWL (3 wins, 2 losses)

However, the league form tells a different story: Liverpool has a perfect streak of five consecutive wins (WWWWW), while Sunderland has been more inconsistent (WLWDD)

Both teams lost their most recent match (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Liverpool has the stronger offense, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Sunderland's 1.08 goals

However, Sunderland is extremely strong defensively at home, conceding an average of just 0.47 goals per game

Liverpool's defense is more vulnerable away, allowing an average of 1.75 goals

Matches at the Stadium of Light average only 1.8 goals, suggesting a tendency for low-scoring games

历史交锋

Sunderland has failed to win in the last five head-to-head encounters

Liverpool won twice, with three matches ending in a draw

The goal difference from these meetings is 8:5 in favor of Liverpool

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Sunderland's attack is led by Brian Brobbey (5 season goals) and creative midfielder Enzo Le Fée (3 goals, 4 assists)

For Liverpool, the main threats are striker Hugo Ekitiké with 10 season goals and Mohamed Salah, who has been directly involved in 9 goals (4 goals, 5 assists)

门将

Sunderland's goalkeeper Robin Roefs has kept 8 clean sheets this season

Liverpool's Alisson has managed 7 clean sheets

影响因素

Sunderland's home advantage is primarily evident in their extremely solid defense, which concedes only 0.47 goals per game at home

Statistics for the Stadium of Light show an average of 1.8 goals per game, indicating that matches there are often tight and low-scoring

This defensive home strength will face Liverpool's potent away attack (1.58 goals per game)

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