Premier League
Brentford - Arsenal
02/12/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
3.4
2.2
1:1
10%1:2
10%0:2
8%1:3
7%0:1
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
18%
平局
22%
客胜
60%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
双重机会
主胜或平局
40%
客胜或平局
82%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Arsenal's superior form and league position: As league leaders with 4 wins in 5 games, Arsenal are the clear favorites, supported by a 60% win probability
- Defensive stability is key: Arsenal's defense concedes only 0.68 goals per game, making it one of the league's best and a decisive advantage over Brentford
- Historical dominance in head-to-head clashes: Arsenal is unbeaten in the last 5 encounters (4 wins, 1 draw), giving them a psychological edge
风险因素
- Brentford's home strength: Brentford is extremely strong defensively at home, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average, which could pose a major challenge for Arsenal's attack
- Key absences for Arsenal: The absence of key players like Bukayo Saka, William Saliba, and Kai Havertz could impact Arsenal's performance
- The goal threat of Igor Thiago: With 17 season goals, Brentford's striker is a constant threat that can challenge even a top defense like Arsenal's
概述
League leaders Arsenal (1st place, 56 points) visit Brentford (7th place, 39 points) at the Gtech Community Stadium
The Premier League match kicks off on February 12, 2026, at 9:00 PM
Arsenal aims to defend their top spot, while Brentford is fighting for a place in European competitions
The mathematical analysis clearly favors the visitors with a 60% win probability
近期状态
Arsenal arrives in strong form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches
Brentford shows mixed form with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Brentford form (all competitions): WLLWW
Arsenal form (all competitions): WLWWW
Arsenal is on a 3-game winning streak, Brentford on a 2-game streak
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Arsenal has both the stronger offense (averaging 1.96 goals per game) and the more solid defense (0.68 goals conceded per game)
Brentford scores an average of 1.56 goals and concedes 1.36
Particularly noteworthy is Brentford's home strength: they concede only 0.8 goals per game in their own stadium
Arsenal is very effective away from home, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game on the road
历史交锋
The head-to-head record clearly favors Arsenal
In the last 5 meetings, Arsenal won 4 times, with one draw
Brentford has not won any of these encounters
The goal difference is 9:3 in favor of Arsenal
The last match ended in a 2-0 victory for Arsenal
关键球员
Igor Thiago is Brentford's standout attacker with 17 season goals, supported by Dango Ouattara with 5 goals
For Arsenal, the goal threat is spread among several players, including Viktor Gyökeres with 8 goals and Leandro Trossard with 5 goals and 5 assists
In midfield, Declan Rice and MartÍn Zubimendi are key players for the visitors
门将
In goal for Brentford is Caoimhín Kelleher
David Raya is the goalkeeper for Arsenal
Arsenal has kept 13 clean sheets this season, one of the best defensive records in the league
Brentford has managed this in 6 matches
影响因素
The main factor is Brentford's remarkable home defense, which concedes an average of only 0.8 goals at the Gtech Community Stadium
This could pose a challenge for the favored visitors
The last five matches at this stadium have seen an average of 2.4 goals, suggesting tighter games