Premier League
Manchester City - Fulham
02/11/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.0
1.0
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
10%1:0
8%3:1
7%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
24%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
82%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: City's dominant home defense (0.57 goals conceded/game) meets Fulham's vulnerable away defense (2.33 goals conceded/game)
- Historical Dominance: Manchester City has won all of the last five head-to-head matches, creating a clear psychological advantage
- Clear Prediction: The mathematical model strongly favors City with a 58% win probability and expects almost twice as many goals (1.99 to 1.03)
风险因素
- Potential Fatigue for Man City: With only three days since their last match, the home team might show signs of tiredness
- Slight Offensive Dip for City: According to advanced stats, City's recent goal production (1.8 goals/game) is below their season average (2.04)
概述
Manchester City (2nd place, 50 points) host Fulham (12th place, 34 points) at the Etihad Stadium
Premier League match on February 11, 2026, 7:30 PM
The hosts are looking to keep pace with the league leaders, while Fulham is positioned in the mid-table
近期状态
Manchester City form (all competitions): LWWDW
The team has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from the last 5 games
Fulham form (all competitions): WLWLL
Fulham comes into the match with 2 wins and 3 losses from their last 5 fixtures, including two consecutive defeats
The form guide clearly favors Manchester City
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Offensively, Manchester City is stronger with an average of 2.04 goals per game compared to Fulham's 1.4 goals
Defensively, City is significantly more stable with only 0.96 goals conceded per game, compared to Fulham's 1.48
The difference is particularly stark in home and away performances
City concedes just 0.57 goals per game on average at home, while Fulham concedes 2.33 goals on the road
历史交锋
Manchester City has won all of the last 5 direct encounters against Fulham
The goal difference from these matches is 19:7 in favor of City
The last meeting ended with a 5:4 victory for Manchester City
The historical record shows clear dominance by the home team
关键球员
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland is the standout player with 21 goals this season
He is supported by Phil Foden (7 goals) and Bernardo Silva, who has been in rising form with 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 4 games
Fulham's attack is led by Harry Wilson (8 goals, 4 assists) and Raúl Jiménez (6 goals, 3 assists)
门将
Manchester City's goalkeeper is Gianluigi Donnarumma, who has kept 10 clean sheets in 25 league matches this season
Fulham's goalkeeper is Bernd Leno, who has managed 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Manchester City enjoys a massive home advantage, especially defensively, with only 0.57 goals conceded per game at the Etihad Stadium
The grass pitch at the stadium is familiar to both teams
Fulham's extreme defensive weakness away from home (2.33 goals conceded per game) is a crucial factor