Premier League
Chelsea - Burnley
02/21/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
2.7
3.6
1.0
2:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%4:0
6%4:1
5%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
72%
平局
17%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
49%
Under 3.5
51%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
28%
非平局
83%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Clear offensive advantage: Chelsea's strong attack (1.81 goals/game) meets Burnley's vulnerable defense (1.96 goals conceded/game)
- Form curve: Chelsea is unbeaten in 5 games (4W, 1D), while Burnley has lost 3 of their last 5
- Head-to-head: Chelsea has dominated recent encounters and is unbeaten in 5 games against Burnley
风险因素
- Burnley is competing with only 64% of their seasonal goal-scoring threat available
- Despite being favorites, Chelsea concedes an average of 1.25 goals at home, and models predict a 58% chance that both teams will score
- Chelsea has a significant list of unavailable players, which could affect defensive stability
概述
Chelsea (5th place, 44 points) host Burnley (19th place, 18 points) at Stamford Bridge
Premier League match on February 21, 2026, 4:00 PM
The home team are clear favorites against the relegation-threatened visitors
近期状态
Home team form: WWWDW (W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss)
Chelsea are in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches
Away team form: DLLWL
Burnley have lost 3 of their last 5 games and are in a form crisis
统计数据
Chelsea score an average of 1.83 goals per game at home
Burnley concede an average of 2.13 goals away
Chelsea's attack (47 season goals) meets one of the weakest defenses in the league (51 goals conceded)
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 17 of Chelsea's 26 matches
历史交锋
Chelsea are unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head encounters
The record: 3 wins for Chelsea, 2 draws, 0 wins for Burnley
The goal difference is 13:4 in favor of Chelsea
The last meeting was won by Chelsea 2:0
关键球员
João Pedro: 10 season goals and 4 assists, 5 goals in the last 5 games
Cole Palmer: 8 goals and 1 assist this season, with a recent strong upward trend in form
Enzo Fernández: Important midfielder with 8 season goals
Jaidon Anthony: Burnley's top scorer with 6 goals
Zian Flemming: Has scored 5 goals this season
Lesley Ugochukwu: 3 goals and 1 assist from midfield
门将
Chelsea's Robert Sánchez has kept 9 clean sheets this season
Burnley's Martin Dúbravka has 3 clean sheets
Sánchez concedes an average of 1.15 goals per game, Dúbravka 1.96
影响因素
Chelsea are very strong at home, scoring an average of 1.83 goals per game
At Stamford Bridge, games have recently averaged 3.2 goals
Both teams scored in 3 of Chelsea's last 5 home matches