Ligue 1
Le Mans - Brest
08/22/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
3.0
4.1
1.1
2:1
8%3:1
8%3:0
8%4:1
6%4:0
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
75%
平局
15%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
92%
Under 1.5
8%
Over 2.5
77%
Under 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
58%
Under 3.5
42%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
25%
非平局
85%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Model prediction: High home win probability of 75% and 3.00 expected goals for Le Mans
- Away weakness of Brest with an average of 2.67 goals conceded per away game
- Personnel impact for Brest: Four players missing from the lineup including Junior Dina Ebimbe and Brendan Chardonnet
风险因素
- Brest goalscorer Ludovic Ajorque is in strong form with 4 goals in his last 5 games
- Limited data availability: No seasonal statistics or form curve available for the home team Le Mans
- Brest recently played counter-oriented with an average of only 2.0 shots on target per game
概述
Le Mans host Brest at the Stade de La Pincenardière
Ligue 1 match on August 22, 2026, 8:45 PM
The home team starts in 16th place while the guests are in 3rd place in the standings
The mathematical analysis favors the hosts with a 75% win probability
近期状态
Brest shows a form of WWLLL in recent matches with 2 wins and 3 losses
The away team suffered three consecutive defeats recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Due to missing data the form of Le Mans cannot be evaluated
统计数据
Brest scored an average of 1.26 goals per game while conceding 1.62 goals this season
In away matches the guests concede an average of 2.67 goals
Le Mans does not have season stats in the current dataset
历史交锋
There are no historical head-to-head matches for these teams in the provided dataset
关键球员
Ludovic Ajorque scored 4 goals in the last 5 matches for Brest showing a rising trend
Romain Del Castillo has 9 goals this season for Brest with a declining form trend
Kamory Doumbia contributed 5 goals and 4 assists for the guests this season
门将
Nicolas Kocik starts in goal for Le Mans
Egil Selvik is in goal for Brest
Brest kept 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match is played on artificial turf at Stade de La Pincenardière
Brest has not won on this surface with a record of 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss scoring 3 and conceding 7 goals
No weather data available for this match