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Ligue 1

Toulouse - Olympique Lyonnais

08/22/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Toulouse
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Olympique Lyonnais
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
TOUOL

Toulouse

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.34倍)
-4.10
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第4位, 相差6位)
-0.19
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.09
Aron Dønnum未进大名单 (4球, 5助攻)
Djibril Sidibé未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
Pape Demba Diop未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Dayann Methalie未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Warren Kamanzi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
34%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

Olympique Lyonnais

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.17
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.08
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第10位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Corentin Tolisso替补席 (11球, 4助攻)
Abner未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Ainsley Maitland-Niles未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Tyler Morton替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Ruben Kluivert未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Moussa Niakhaté未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
88%进球产出缺失 (仅6%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均5.5球)
+3.00
+3.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

29%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

71%

双方进球

是

55%

否

45%

关键因素
  • Critical squad loss for Lyon: Without Corentin Tolisso, Abner, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Tyler Morton, Ruben Kluivert, and Moussa Niakhaté, only 6% of seasonal goal threat is active
  • Weakened Toulouse attack: Without Aron Dønnum, Djibril Sidibé, Pape Demba Diop, Dayann Methalie, and Warren Kamanzi, only 64% of goal threat is available
  • Tactical styles: Lyon averaged 55% possession and 5.2 shots on target in recent matches, while Toulouse was counter-focused with 41% possession and 3.0 shots on target
风险因素
  • Fatigue disadvantage for Lyon with only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Both attacks have shown weak form recently and performed below their season averages
概述

Toulouse hosts Olympique Lyonnais

Ligue 1 fixture on August 22, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams start the season with zero points

Mathematical models predict a 40% chance for a home win

近期状态

Toulouse holds a form of LLWWL

Olympique Lyonnais enters with a form of LDLWD

Both teams show a negative recent trend

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Toulouse scored 1.42 goals and conceded 1.39 on average this season

Lyon scored 1.56 goals and conceded 1.18 on average

The match venue averages 2.6 goals per game

历史交锋

Out of 4 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 and Lyon won 1 with 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a 2:1 victory for Toulouse

Goal difference stands at 5:4 in favor of Toulouse

关键球员

Yann Gboho scored 8 goals and provided 5 assists with a 7.04 rating

Santiago Hidalgo contributed 4 goals and 6 assists

Cristian Cásseres Jr. holds a season rating of 7.09 in midfield

门将

Guillaume Restes made 33 appearances with a rating of 6.77

Rémy Descamps played 5 matches with a rating of 7.01

影响因素

Toulouse recorded 25 goals scored and 24 conceded at home this season

Stadium de Toulouse has an over 2.5 goals rate of 60%

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