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Ligue 1

Nice - Lorient

08/22/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Nice
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Lorient
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NICLOR

Nice

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.27倍)
-4.06
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均4.5球)
-2.50
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第9位, 相差7位)
-0.23
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.14
Tom Louchet未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Hicham Boudaoui未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Morgan Sanson未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Charles Vanhoutte未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
29%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)

Lorient

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.56
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.06
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第16位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Bamba Dieng未进大名单 (10球, 2助攻)
Bamo Meïté未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Karim Dermane未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
50%进球产出缺失 (仅58%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均5.5球)
+3.00
+3.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

27%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Nice's goal production has recently stalled at 0.6 compared to their season average of 1.1
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 42% away win probability compared to 31% for a home win
  • Lorient averaged 3.6 shots on target in recent matches, compared to 3.4 for Nice
风险因素
  • Tom Louchet, Hicham Boudaoui, Morgan Sanson, and Charles Vanhoutte are missing, leaving only 64% of goal-scoring threat available
  • Bamba Dieng, Bamo Meïté, and Karim Dermane are missing, leaving only 59% of goal-scoring threat available
  • Lorient concedes an average of 2.17 goals per away match
概述

Nice host Lorient at the Allianz Riviera

Ligue 1 match on August 22, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams start this phase of the season with zero points

近期状态

Nice in weak form with LLWLL

Recently 1 win and 4 losses for the home team

Lorient with a more stable trend of DDWLD

The visitors recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Nice averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded per home game

Lorient averages 1.42 goals scored and 2.17 goals conceded in away games

Both teams scored in 20 of Nice's and 18 of Lorient's season matches

Lorient scores 1.41 goals on average compared to Nice's 1.09

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in the database

No wins for Nice, 1 win for Lorient, and 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a 3-3 draw on February 22, 2026

Lorient is historically the dominant side according to the record

关键球员

Sofiane Diop leads Nice's attack with 8 goals and 3 assists

Jonathan Clauss supports the defense with 6 assists and a 7.12 rating

Melvin Bard scored 2 goals with a rating of 6.77 so far

Arsène Kouassi provides playmaker qualities for Lorient with 7 assists and 2 goals

Jean-Victor Makengo stabilizes the midfield with 4 goals and a 6.94 rating

Noah Doriann Cadiou scored 3 goals this season with an average rating of 6.81

门将

Yehvann Diouf is in goal for Nice and kept 6 clean sheets this season

Yvon Mvogo guards the net for Lorient and recorded 7 clean sheets

Both goalkeepers aim to stabilize their defensive performance in this match

影响因素

Allianz Riviera averages 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of the last 5 home games at this venue

The match will be played on natural grass

Nice's home advantage is supported by an average of 1.12 goals scored per home match

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