🇫🇷

Ligue 1

Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg

08/21/2026, 06:45 PM

4 : 0
预期进球
Olympique Marseille
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Strasbourg
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
OMSTR

Olympique Marseille

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.13
Mason Greenwood未进大名单 (16球, 7助攻)
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang未进大名单 (10球, 5助攻)
Benjamin Pavard未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

Strasbourg

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
Diego Moreira未进大名单 (4球, 7助攻)
Martial Godo替补席 (10球, 1助攻)
Julio Enciso未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)
Valentín Barco未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Ben Chilwell未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Ismaël Doukouré未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Abdoul Ouattara未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
48%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

30%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

52%

否

48%

关键因素
  • Severe squad depletion for the visitors: Strasbourg has only 52% of their usual starting strength available with key players like Diego Moreira and Martial Godo missing
  • Marseille's home advantage: The hosts average 1.86 goals scored and only 0.91 conceded at the Stade Vélodrome
  • Offensive metrics: Marseille averaged 5.0 shots on target in their recent matches
风险因素
  • Weakened home squad: Marseille has only 65% of their usual starting strength available with key scorers Mason Greenwood (16 goals) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (10 goals) missing
  • Away defensive struggles: Strasbourg concedes 1.75 goals per away game on average
  • Limited data on weather conditions
概述

Olympique Marseille hosts Strasbourg at the Stade Vélodrome

Ligue 1 match on August 21, 2026, 8:45 PM

Season opener with both teams currently positioned at the top of the standings

近期状态

Marseille enters the match with form WWWLL

The home side suffered two consecutive defeats recently

Strasbourg travels with form WLWLL

The visitors also lost their last two matches

统计数据

Marseille scores an average of 1.86 goals at home and concedes 0.91

Strasbourg concedes 1.75 goals on average away while scoring 1.75

The home team kept a total of 9 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

Balanced head-to-head record with one win each and two draws

The goal difference is exactly even at 5:5

The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw

关键球员

Igor Paixão has 6 goals and 5 assists this season

Amine Gouiri recorded 8 goals and 3 assists so far

For Strasbourg, Sebastian Nanasi shines with 7 goals and 2 assists

门将

Jeffrey de Lange starts in goal for Marseille

Filip Jørgensen starts in goal for Strasbourg

Both teams have achieved 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Stade Vélodrome features a grass surface

Matches at this stadium average 2.8 total goals

The both teams to score rate stands at 80% at this venue

准备开始了吗？

创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。