Ligue 1
Le Havre - Monaco
08/23/2026, 03:15 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.8
1.8
1:1
12%0:2
10%1:2
10%0:3
6%1:3
6%xG 分解
Le Havre
Monaco
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
19%
平局
26%
客胜
55%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
45%
客胜或平局
81%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Monaco's form boost: The visitors score more frequently recently (2.4 goals) compared to their season average (1.8)
- Tactical dominance: Monaco averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches, indicating strong offensive power
- Weakened hosts: Le Havre is playing with only 57% of their usual starting lineup strength as key players like Issa Soumaré are missing
风险因素
- Folarin Balogun and Maghnes Akliouche are missing, leaving Monaco with only 63% of their active goal share available
- Monaco has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Monaco concedes an average of 2.07 goals per away game
概述
Le Havre (12th place, 0 points) host Monaco (14th place, 0 points) at Stade Océane
Ligue 1 match on August 23, 2026, 5:15 PM
Monaco is the favorite with a calculated win probability of 55%
Both teams look to start the new season
近期状态
Le Havre shows poor form with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in recent games
Monaco travels with a perfect streak of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses
Form codes: LLDLD for Le Havre and WWWWW for Monaco
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Le Havre scored an average of 0.94 goals per game and conceded 1.29 in the season
Monaco averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded
In Monaco's away matches, they conceded an average of 2.07 goals while scoring 1.8
The model calculates 0.98 expected home goals and 1.81 expected away goals
历史交锋
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Havre had 0 wins, Monaco had 2 wins, with 2 draws
The goal difference is 3:7 in favor of Monaco
The last encounter on January 24, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw
关键球员
Rassoul Ndiaye has 4 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.97
Fodé Doucouré recorded 3 seasonal goals and 2 assists from defense
Yanis Zouaoui contributes solid defensive play with a rating of 6.81
Aleksandr Golovin shines in midfield with 5 goals, 5 assists, and a rating of 6.99
Lamine Camara impresses with 3 goals, 4 assists, and a strong rating of 7.24
Mamadou Coulibaly has contributed 3 goals and 3 assists so far
门将
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau guards the goal for Le Havre with a strong rating of 7.33
Lukas Hradecky is in goal for Monaco with a rating of 6.68
影响因素
Played on natural grass at the Stade Océane
Stadium statistics show an average of 2.4 goals per match
Le Havre's home advantage is backed by 0.95 goals scored per home game