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Ligue 1

Monaco - Olympique Marseille

08/30/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Monaco
1.4
Total xG
2.9
Olympique Marseille
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
MONOM

Monaco

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.16
28%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Olympique Marseille

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.09
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.03
Mason Greenwood未进大名单 (16球, 7助攻)
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang未进大名单 (10球, 5助攻)
Igor Paixão未进大名单 (6球, 5助攻)
Benjamin Pavard未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
47%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

28%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

72%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact: Only 52% of goals share available for Olympique Marseille without Mason Greenwood, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Igor Paixão, Benjamin Pavard
  • Form advantage: Monaco enters the match with an active streak of 5 consecutive wins
  • Offensive trend: Monaco scores more frequently recently (2.4 goals on average) compared to their season average (1.9 goals)
风险因素
  • Fatigue: Monaco enters the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Away weakness: Olympique Marseille concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game
  • Offensive slump: Olympique Marseille's goal production is stalling recently, averaging 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.9
概述

Monaco (7th place, 3 points) host Olympique Marseille (5th place, 3 points) at Stade Louis II

Ligue 1 match on August 30, 2026, 8:45 PM

A clash between two teams level on points early in the campaign

近期状态

Monaco enters in outstanding shape with a perfect record of 5 consecutive wins (WWWWW, W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Olympique Marseille recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches (WWLLW)

The hosts carry significantly more momentum into this encounter

统计数据

Monaco scores an average of 1.76 goals and concedes 1.59 goals per game this season

At Stade Louis II, Monaco concedes just 1.21 goals on average while scoring 1.74 times

Olympique Marseille averages 1.85 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded

The visitors show high defensive vulnerability on the road with an average of 2.08 goals conceded per away match

历史交锋

Even historical record in the last 4 head-to-head encounters with 2 wins for each side

The last direct meeting on April 5, 2026 ended in a 2-1 home victory for Monaco

A total of 6-4 goals were scored in these matches in favor of Monaco

关键球员

Aleksandr Golovin shines in midfield with 5 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 6.99

Lamine Camara impresses in midfield with a season rating average of 7.24

Mamadou Coulibaly contributed 3 goals and 3 assists in this campaign

Amine Gouiri leads the visitors' attack with 8 goals and 3 assists

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg orchestrates the opposition midfield with 4 goals and 5 assists with a 7.23 rating

Angel Gomes has recorded 3 goals in midfield this season

门将

Lukas Hradecky is in goal for Monaco with an average rating of 6.68

In the current campaign he has already recorded 7 clean sheets

On the other side, Jeffrey de Lange starts with an average rating of 6.51

影响因素

Matches at Stade Louis II averaged 3.0 goals per game recently

The rate for both teams to score stands at 60% at this venue

The match will be played on natural grass surface

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