Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais - Le Havre
08/29/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%2:0
9%2:1
9%1:2
6%3:0
5%xG 分解
Olympique Lyonnais
Le Havre
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
29%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact for Le Havre: Only 39% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with key contributors like Issa Soumaré (8 goals, 5 assists) missing
- Tactical offensive strength: Olympique Lyonnais averaged a strong 5.8 shots on target per match in recent games
- Historical dominance: Olympique Lyonnais won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Le Havre with a 9:2 goal difference
风险因素
- Fatigue factor: Olympique Lyonnais enter the match with a short rest of only 3 days since their last game
- Away defensive weakness: Le Havre concede a high average of 2.0 goals per away match
- Visitor's offensive limitations: Le Havre averaged only 3.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
概述
Olympique Lyonnais (4th place, 3 points) host Le Havre (14th place, 0 points) at the Groupama Stadium
Ligue 1 fixture on August 29, 2026, 8:45 PM
The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 48%
The hosts aim to build on their positive start with a home victory
近期状态
Olympique Lyonnais hold a form of LWDWL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Le Havre show a form of LDLDL with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Both sides suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Olympique Lyonnais averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.18 conceded last season
Le Havre struggle with 0.94 goals scored per game and concede 2.0 on average away
The model calculates 1.52 expected goals for the home side and 0.99 for the visitors
Recent games at this venue featured a high average of 4.2 goals per match
历史交锋
The hosts dominate the history with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 encounters
The overall goal difference is 9:2 in favor of Olympique Lyonnais
The last meeting on March 15, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw
关键球员
Corentin Tolisso stands out this season with 11 goals and 4 assists
Moussa Niakhaté stabilizes the defense and registered 2 assists
Ernest Nuamah scored 1 goal in just 76 minutes of play recently
门将
Dominik Greif kept 15 clean sheets this season with a 6.96 average rating
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau impresses with a strong 7.33 rating for the away team
Le Havre secured 8 clean sheets throughout the campaign
影响因素
Olympique Lyonnais show solid home strength with 1.58 goals scored per home match
The game will be played on a grass surface
The venue history signals a clear trend with a 100% over 2.5 rate in recent games