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Ligue 1

Rennes - Le Mans

08/30/2026, 03:15 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Rennes
1.5
Total xG
3.0
Le Mans
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
RENLM

Rennes

状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.28
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.12
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.09
Ludovic Blas替补席 (5球, 4助攻)
Mahdi Camara替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Arnaud Nordin替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

Le Mans

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.31
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.44
+0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

27%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Offensive trend: Rennes currently score more frequently (averaging 2.8 goals per match) than their season average of 1.8
  • Tactical dominance: Rennes recently averaged 56% possession and 5.8 shots on target per match
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis projects a highly balanced match with a 37% home win probability and a 36% away win probability
风险因素
  • Away defensive weakness: Le Mans already conceded 2.0 goals on average in their first match of the season
  • Goalkeeper absence: The injury of starting keeper B. Samba weakens the defensive stability of the hosts
  • Limited data availability regarding head-to-head records and away squad player form
概述

Rennes host Le Mans at the Roazhon Park

Ligue 1 match on August 30, 2026, 5:15 PM

Both teams started the new campaign with a draw

Rennes sit in 11th place and Le Mans in 12th place, both with one point

近期状态

Rennes show the form WLDWD

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Paris Saint Germain

Le Mans started the season with the form D

Their previous fixture was a 2-2 draw against Brest

统计数据

Rennes scored an average of 1.74 goals and conceded 1.47 goals per match last season

At home, Rennes conceded only 1.00 goal per game on average last term

Le Mans started this season with a goal difference of 2-2

Rennes averaged 1.76 goals scored per home match

关键球员

Estéban Lepaul scored 20 goals and provided 5 assists in 32 appearances

Mousa Tamari contributed 6 goals and 6 assists this season

Valentin Rongier impresses in midfield with an average rating of 7.20

Not nominated for this match: Ludovic Blas, Mahdi Camara, Arnaud Nordin

门将

Nicolas Lemaître is in goal for Rennes as starting keeper B. Samba is injured

Nicolas Kocik guards the net for Le Mans and conceded 2 goals in the last match

Rennes kept 10 clean sheets overall during the previous season

影响因素

Roazhon Park saw an average of 2.6 goals per match in recent fixtures

Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 home games for Rennes

The match will be played on grass

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